In the wide-open Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as Christy Davis edges Patrick Schmidt and Sharice Davids at 14%, 12.4%, and 11% implied probabilities ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Davis's slight lead stems from her rural Kansas roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former public servant emphasizing working families and infrastructure, gaining traction despite trailing Schmidt's Q1 fundraising lead of $177,000 raised and $130,000 cash-on-hand reported in late April. Schmidt differentiates via state Senate experience and Navy veteran status, while Davids's odds persist on speculation despite her House re-election focus. Consolidation could follow Democratic Party of Kansas endorsements, emerging polls, or surges from recent entrant Adam Hamilton or others like Noah Taylor amid low turnout risks in this deep-red state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPatrick Schmidt 29.8%
Christy Davis 14%
Sharice Davids 13%
Michael Soetaert 5.0%
$87,914 Vol.
$87,914 Vol.
Patrick Schmidt
30%
Christy Davis
14%
Sharice Davids
13%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Anne Parelkar
4%
Patrick Schmidt 29.8%
Christy Davis 14%
Sharice Davids 13%
Michael Soetaert 5.0%
$87,914 Vol.
$87,914 Vol.
Patrick Schmidt
30%
Christy Davis
14%
Sharice Davids
13%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Anne Parelkar
4%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the wide-open Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as Christy Davis edges Patrick Schmidt and Sharice Davids at 14%, 12.4%, and 11% implied probabilities ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Davis's slight lead stems from her rural Kansas roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former public servant emphasizing working families and infrastructure, gaining traction despite trailing Schmidt's Q1 fundraising lead of $177,000 raised and $130,000 cash-on-hand reported in late April. Schmidt differentiates via state Senate experience and Navy veteran status, while Davids's odds persist on speculation despite her House re-election focus. Consolidation could follow Democratic Party of Kansas endorsements, emerging polls, or surges from recent entrant Adam Hamilton or others like Noah Taylor amid low turnout risks in this deep-red state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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