Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Manorama News-C Voter projecting UDF 82-94 seats, have driven trader consensus toward the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) winning 19-21 seats, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting anti-incumbency against the incumbent LDF after two terms under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan. IUML, a pivotal UDF ally contesting 27 seats in strongholds like Malappuram (projected UDF sweep of 14-16) and Kozhikode, benefits from consolidated minority votes and UDF gains across northern and central districts amid high 78% turnout. Lower ranges like 16-18 account for tighter LDF retention scenarios, while vote counting on May 4 could shift odds based on final tallies in contested constituencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
22+ 44.7%
19–21 35%
16–18 33.0%
<10 5.5%
$11,417 Vol.
$11,417 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<10
5%
10–12
42%
13–15
43%
16–18
33%
19–21
35%
22+
45%
22+ 44.7%
19–21 35%
16–18 33.0%
<10 5.5%
$11,417 Vol.
$11,417 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<10
$341 Vol.
5%
10–12
$145 Vol.
42%
13–15
$95 Vol.
43%
16–18
$10,414 Vol.
33%
19–21
$63 Vol.
35%
22+
$359 Vol.
45%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Manorama News-C Voter projecting UDF 82-94 seats, have driven trader consensus toward the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) winning 19-21 seats, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting anti-incumbency against the incumbent LDF after two terms under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan. IUML, a pivotal UDF ally contesting 27 seats in strongholds like Malappuram (projected UDF sweep of 14-16) and Kozhikode, benefits from consolidated minority votes and UDF gains across northern and central districts amid high 78% turnout. Lower ranges like 16-18 account for tighter LDF retention scenarios, while vote counting on May 4 could shift odds based on final tallies in contested constituencies.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
Volumen
$11,417Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Manorama News-C Voter projecting UDF 82-94 seats, have driven trader consensus toward the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) winning 19-21 seats, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting anti-incumbency against the incumbent LDF after two terms under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan. IUML, a pivotal UDF ally contesting 27 seats in strongholds like Malappuram (projected UDF sweep of 14-16) and Kozhikode, benefits from consolidated minority votes and UDF gains across northern and central districts amid high 78% turnout. Lower ranges like 16-18 account for tighter LDF retention scenarios, while vote counting on May 4 could shift odds based on final tallies in contested constituencies.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$11,417Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Manorama News-C Voter projecting UDF 82-94 seats, have driven trader consensus toward the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) winning 19-21 seats, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting anti-incumbency against the incumbent LDF after two terms under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan. IUML, a pivotal UDF ally contesting 27 seats in strongholds like Malappuram (projected UDF sweep of 14-16) and Kozhikode, benefits from consolidated minority votes and UDF gains across northern and central districts amid high 78% turnout. Lower ranges like 16-18 account for tighter LDF retention scenarios, while vote counting on May 4 could shift odds based on final tallies in contested constituencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes