Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 19°C (24.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 21°C (25.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 2, reflecting close alignment in latest forecast models like ECMWF and GFS amid a cooler-than-average early May pattern. Persistent cloud cover and high rain probabilities—up to 96% per AccuWeather—associated with a passing frontal system have suppressed recent highs to 18-21°C over the past week, well below the 25-26°C climatological norm. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on precipitation timing and afternoon cloud breaks, which could allow 1-2°C more heating for 21°C or cap at 19°C under steady overcast; resolution hinges on official airport observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
20°C 29%
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
$15,352 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,352 Vol.
2 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
29%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 29%
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
$15,352 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,352 Vol.
2 may 2026
14°C or below
$9,347 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$354 Vol.
3%
18°C
$365 Vol.
11%
19°C
$291 Vol.
25%
20°C
$547 Vol.
29%
21°C
$384 Vol.
24%
22°C
$534 Vol.
5%
23°C
$349 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$941 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 19°C (24.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 21°C (25.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 2, reflecting close alignment in latest forecast models like ECMWF and GFS amid a cooler-than-average early May pattern. Persistent cloud cover and high rain probabilities—up to 96% per AccuWeather—associated with a passing frontal system have suppressed recent highs to 18-21°C over the past week, well below the 25-26°C climatological norm. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on precipitation timing and afternoon cloud breaks, which could allow 1-2°C more heating for 21°C or cap at 19°C under steady overcast; resolution hinges on official airport observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$15,352Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 19°C (24.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 21°C (25.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 2, reflecting close alignment in latest forecast models like ECMWF and GFS amid a cooler-than-average early May pattern. Persistent cloud cover and high rain probabilities—up to 96% per AccuWeather—associated with a passing frontal system have suppressed recent highs to 18-21°C over the past week, well below the 25-26°C climatological norm. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on precipitation timing and afternoon cloud breaks, which could allow 1-2°C more heating for 21°C or cap at 19°C under steady overcast; resolution hinges on official airport observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,352Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 19°C (24.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 21°C (25.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 2, reflecting close alignment in latest forecast models like ECMWF and GFS amid a cooler-than-average early May pattern. Persistent cloud cover and high rain probabilities—up to 96% per AccuWeather—associated with a passing frontal system have suppressed recent highs to 18-21°C over the past week, well below the 25-26°C climatological norm. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on precipitation timing and afternoon cloud breaks, which could allow 1-2°C more heating for 21°C or cap at 19°C under steady overcast; resolution hinges on official airport observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes