Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48%) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and Polish IMGW, which converge on peaks around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated drizzle. This positioning stems from yesterday's cool high of just 12°C, with southerly winds now advecting milder air masses—current morning readings at 8°C are rising steadily, but overcast afternoon conditions and 20–25% precipitation odds limit solar heating and cap upside potential. Compared to May's climatological average high of 20°C, persistent stratus introduces uncertainty, with new hourly observations from IMGW expected to refine trader positioning through peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
18°C 49%
19°C 32%
17°C 20%
20°C 2.6%
$17,514 Vol.
$17,514 Vol.
14 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
20%
18°C
49%
19°C
32%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 32%
17°C 20%
20°C 2.6%
$17,514 Vol.
$17,514 Vol.
14 may 2026
13°C or below
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,762 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,351 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,241 Vol.
20%
18°C
$1,992 Vol.
49%
19°C
$1,550 Vol.
32%
20°C
$1,732 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,705 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48%) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and Polish IMGW, which converge on peaks around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated drizzle. This positioning stems from yesterday's cool high of just 12°C, with southerly winds now advecting milder air masses—current morning readings at 8°C are rising steadily, but overcast afternoon conditions and 20–25% precipitation odds limit solar heating and cap upside potential. Compared to May's climatological average high of 20°C, persistent stratus introduces uncertainty, with new hourly observations from IMGW expected to refine trader positioning through peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$17,514Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48%) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and Polish IMGW, which converge on peaks around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated drizzle. This positioning stems from yesterday's cool high of just 12°C, with southerly winds now advecting milder air masses—current morning readings at 8°C are rising steadily, but overcast afternoon conditions and 20–25% precipitation odds limit solar heating and cap upside potential. Compared to May's climatological average high of 20°C, persistent stratus introduces uncertainty, with new hourly observations from IMGW expected to refine trader positioning through peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,514Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48%) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and Polish IMGW, which converge on peaks around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated drizzle. This positioning stems from yesterday's cool high of just 12°C, with southerly winds now advecting milder air masses—current morning readings at 8°C are rising steadily, but overcast afternoon conditions and 20–25% precipitation odds limit solar heating and cap upside potential. Compared to May's climatological average high of 20°C, persistent stratus introduces uncertainty, with new hourly observations from IMGW expected to refine trader positioning through peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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