Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (30%) and 10°C (28%) as Toronto Pearson International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts clustering at 9-11°C under a persistent cool air mass from recent northerly flows and frost advisories. This chilly pattern follows a temperature plunge into early May, with daytime highs suppressed well below the 17°C climatological average by upper-level troughing and light winds limiting surface heating. The tight race among top outcomes stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2-3°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud evolution and 30-40% shower probabilities that could cap peaks at 9°C or allow slight warming to 10-11°C if skies clear. New model runs and observations today will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
9°C 31%
10°C 27%
8°C 16%
11°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
11%
8°C
16%
9°C
31%
10°C
27%
11°C
12%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
9°C 31%
10°C 27%
8°C 16%
11°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
4°C or below
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$715 Vol.
1%
7°C
$622 Vol.
11%
8°C
$311 Vol.
16%
9°C
$371 Vol.
31%
10°C
$239 Vol.
27%
11°C
$257 Vol.
12%
12°C
$398 Vol.
3%
13°C
$663 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$308 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (30%) and 10°C (28%) as Toronto Pearson International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts clustering at 9-11°C under a persistent cool air mass from recent northerly flows and frost advisories. This chilly pattern follows a temperature plunge into early May, with daytime highs suppressed well below the 17°C climatological average by upper-level troughing and light winds limiting surface heating. The tight race among top outcomes stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2-3°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud evolution and 30-40% shower probabilities that could cap peaks at 9°C or allow slight warming to 10-11°C if skies clear. New model runs and observations today will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$7,812Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (30%) and 10°C (28%) as Toronto Pearson International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts clustering at 9-11°C under a persistent cool air mass from recent northerly flows and frost advisories. This chilly pattern follows a temperature plunge into early May, with daytime highs suppressed well below the 17°C climatological average by upper-level troughing and light winds limiting surface heating. The tight race among top outcomes stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2-3°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud evolution and 30-40% shower probabilities that could cap peaks at 9°C or allow slight warming to 10-11°C if skies clear. New model runs and observations today will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,812Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (30%) and 10°C (28%) as Toronto Pearson International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts clustering at 9-11°C under a persistent cool air mass from recent northerly flows and frost advisories. This chilly pattern follows a temperature plunge into early May, with daytime highs suppressed well below the 17°C climatological average by upper-level troughing and light winds limiting surface heating. The tight race among top outcomes stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2-3°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud evolution and 30-40% shower probabilities that could cap peaks at 9°C or allow slight warming to 10-11°C if skies clear. New model runs and observations today will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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