The Japan Meteorological Agency's noon forecast for May 1 in Tokyo predicts a high of 21°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with 50% morning precipitation chance dropping to 30% afternoon—yet traders favor 20°C at 36% implied probability over 19°C at 34%, reflecting morning showers that cooled early readings below seasonal norms of 22°C. Differentiating factors include solar insolation if clouds thin post-noon, urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport (market resolution site), and sea breeze moderation; persistent overcast could cap peaks at 19°C, while brief clearing favors 20-21°C. Monitor hourly JMA updates as the day unfolds for shifts in model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 1?
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
21°C or higher 14.2%
18°C 6.2%
$90,344 Vol.
$90,344 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
14%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
21°C or higher 14.2%
18°C 6.2%
$90,344 Vol.
$90,344 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C
$5,950 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,977 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$14,755 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$20,239 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$11,222 Vol.
6%
19°C
$6,504 Vol.
39%
20°C
$5,962 Vol.
39%
21°C or higher
$14,157 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's noon forecast for May 1 in Tokyo predicts a high of 21°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with 50% morning precipitation chance dropping to 30% afternoon—yet traders favor 20°C at 36% implied probability over 19°C at 34%, reflecting morning showers that cooled early readings below seasonal norms of 22°C. Differentiating factors include solar insolation if clouds thin post-noon, urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport (market resolution site), and sea breeze moderation; persistent overcast could cap peaks at 19°C, while brief clearing favors 20-21°C. Monitor hourly JMA updates as the day unfolds for shifts in model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$90,344Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's noon forecast for May 1 in Tokyo predicts a high of 21°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with 50% morning precipitation chance dropping to 30% afternoon—yet traders favor 20°C at 36% implied probability over 19°C at 34%, reflecting morning showers that cooled early readings below seasonal norms of 22°C. Differentiating factors include solar insolation if clouds thin post-noon, urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport (market resolution site), and sea breeze moderation; persistent overcast could cap peaks at 19°C, while brief clearing favors 20-21°C. Monitor hourly JMA updates as the day unfolds for shifts in model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$90,344Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's noon forecast for May 1 in Tokyo predicts a high of 21°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with 50% morning precipitation chance dropping to 30% afternoon—yet traders favor 20°C at 36% implied probability over 19°C at 34%, reflecting morning showers that cooled early readings below seasonal norms of 22°C. Differentiating factors include solar insolation if clouds thin post-noon, urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport (market resolution site), and sea breeze moderation; persistent overcast could cap peaks at 19°C, while brief clearing favors 20-21°C. Monitor hourly JMA updates as the day unfolds for shifts in model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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