Japan Meteorological Agency's midday forecast for May 1 indicates a Tokyo daytime high of 21°C with morning rain at 50% chance transitioning to cloudy skies and 30% precipitation risk later, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (34%) and 20°C (33%) amid model discrepancies—world-weather.info projects just 19°C under southerly winds at 14 mph and 89% humidity. Persistent low clouds could limit solar insolation, capping peaks below official guidance, while quicker clearing might push toward 21°C or higher (14%). Early May climatology averages 21°C highs, but short-term forecast uncertainty from frontal remnants and cloud cover differentiates outcomes; monitor JMA hourly updates through evening for resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 1?
19°C 36%
20°C 31%
18°C 15.7%
21°C or higher 12.0%
$72,688 Vol.
$72,688 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
36%
20°C
31%
21°C or higher
12%
19°C 36%
20°C 31%
18°C 15.7%
21°C or higher 12.0%
$72,688 Vol.
$72,688 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C
$5,950 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,977 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$10,245 Vol.
2%
17°C
$13,615 Vol.
4%
18°C
$10,304 Vol.
16%
19°C
$5,887 Vol.
36%
20°C
$5,593 Vol.
31%
21°C or higher
$9,895 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's midday forecast for May 1 indicates a Tokyo daytime high of 21°C with morning rain at 50% chance transitioning to cloudy skies and 30% precipitation risk later, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (34%) and 20°C (33%) amid model discrepancies—world-weather.info projects just 19°C under southerly winds at 14 mph and 89% humidity. Persistent low clouds could limit solar insolation, capping peaks below official guidance, while quicker clearing might push toward 21°C or higher (14%). Early May climatology averages 21°C highs, but short-term forecast uncertainty from frontal remnants and cloud cover differentiates outcomes; monitor JMA hourly updates through evening for resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$72,688Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's midday forecast for May 1 indicates a Tokyo daytime high of 21°C with morning rain at 50% chance transitioning to cloudy skies and 30% precipitation risk later, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (34%) and 20°C (33%) amid model discrepancies—world-weather.info projects just 19°C under southerly winds at 14 mph and 89% humidity. Persistent low clouds could limit solar insolation, capping peaks below official guidance, while quicker clearing might push toward 21°C or higher (14%). Early May climatology averages 21°C highs, but short-term forecast uncertainty from frontal remnants and cloud cover differentiates outcomes; monitor JMA hourly updates through evening for resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$72,688Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's midday forecast for May 1 indicates a Tokyo daytime high of 21°C with morning rain at 50% chance transitioning to cloudy skies and 30% precipitation risk later, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (34%) and 20°C (33%) amid model discrepancies—world-weather.info projects just 19°C under southerly winds at 14 mph and 89% humidity. Persistent low clouds could limit solar insolation, capping peaks below official guidance, while quicker clearing might push toward 21°C or higher (14%). Early May climatology averages 21°C highs, but short-term forecast uncertainty from frontal remnants and cloud cover differentiates outcomes; monitor JMA hourly updates through evening for resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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