Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of partly cloudy to clear skies with highs around 26°C amid light winds, but with notable model spread from international ensembles like GFS suggesting potential for 28–30°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent developments, including a slight temperature dip in the past 48 hours below seasonal norms, temper expectations, yet traders factor in upside from low humidity, urban heat island effects at official coastal stations, and reduced sea breeze influence allowing greater solar insolation during peak afternoon heating. New IMS updates and observational data expected overnight could sharpen this razor-thin differentiation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 2?
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C or higher 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
12%
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C or higher 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
21°C or below
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,379 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$599 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,172 Vol.
1%
26°C
$395 Vol.
3%
27°C
$172 Vol.
5%
28°C
$260 Vol.
16%
29°C
$581 Vol.
38%
30°C
$448 Vol.
32%
31°C or higher
$1,138 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of partly cloudy to clear skies with highs around 26°C amid light winds, but with notable model spread from international ensembles like GFS suggesting potential for 28–30°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent developments, including a slight temperature dip in the past 48 hours below seasonal norms, temper expectations, yet traders factor in upside from low humidity, urban heat island effects at official coastal stations, and reduced sea breeze influence allowing greater solar insolation during peak afternoon heating. New IMS updates and observational data expected overnight could sharpen this razor-thin differentiation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$8,568Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of partly cloudy to clear skies with highs around 26°C amid light winds, but with notable model spread from international ensembles like GFS suggesting potential for 28–30°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent developments, including a slight temperature dip in the past 48 hours below seasonal norms, temper expectations, yet traders factor in upside from low humidity, urban heat island effects at official coastal stations, and reduced sea breeze influence allowing greater solar insolation during peak afternoon heating. New IMS updates and observational data expected overnight could sharpen this razor-thin differentiation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,568Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of partly cloudy to clear skies with highs around 26°C amid light winds, but with notable model spread from international ensembles like GFS suggesting potential for 28–30°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent developments, including a slight temperature dip in the past 48 hours below seasonal norms, temper expectations, yet traders factor in upside from low humidity, urban heat island effects at official coastal stations, and reduced sea breeze influence allowing greater solar insolation during peak afternoon heating. New IMS updates and observational data expected overnight could sharpen this razor-thin differentiation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes