Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 25°C high in Tel Aviv on May 15 at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 26°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a cooldown to 24–26°C after today's projected 30–32°C peak under a fading high-pressure ridge. Increased cloudiness and overcast conditions, as indicated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance, will limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below recent multi-day warmth around 27–30°C. The tight race reflects uncertainty in morning clearing versus persistent marine stratus from Mediterranean influences, with sea-breeze timing as a key differentiator; official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service throughout the day will refine resolution near local noon maxima. Historical May averages hover near 26°C, aligning with this clustered trader sentiment amid typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de mayo?
25°C 41%
26°C 36%
24°C 19%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
$12,607 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,607 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
41%
26°C
36%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
2%
25°C 41%
26°C 36%
24°C 19%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
$12,607 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,607 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,199 Vol.
1%
23°C
$670 Vol.
3%
24°C
$818 Vol.
19%
25°C
$822 Vol.
41%
26°C
$972 Vol.
36%
27°C
$553 Vol.
6%
28°C
$2,012 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$1,242 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 25°C high in Tel Aviv on May 15 at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 26°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a cooldown to 24–26°C after today's projected 30–32°C peak under a fading high-pressure ridge. Increased cloudiness and overcast conditions, as indicated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance, will limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below recent multi-day warmth around 27–30°C. The tight race reflects uncertainty in morning clearing versus persistent marine stratus from Mediterranean influences, with sea-breeze timing as a key differentiator; official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service throughout the day will refine resolution near local noon maxima. Historical May averages hover near 26°C, aligning with this clustered trader sentiment amid typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$12,607Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 25°C high in Tel Aviv on May 15 at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 26°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a cooldown to 24–26°C after today's projected 30–32°C peak under a fading high-pressure ridge. Increased cloudiness and overcast conditions, as indicated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance, will limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below recent multi-day warmth around 27–30°C. The tight race reflects uncertainty in morning clearing versus persistent marine stratus from Mediterranean influences, with sea-breeze timing as a key differentiator; official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service throughout the day will refine resolution near local noon maxima. Historical May averages hover near 26°C, aligning with this clustered trader sentiment amid typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,607Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 25°C high in Tel Aviv on May 15 at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 26°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a cooldown to 24–26°C after today's projected 30–32°C peak under a fading high-pressure ridge. Increased cloudiness and overcast conditions, as indicated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance, will limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below recent multi-day warmth around 27–30°C. The tight race reflects uncertainty in morning clearing versus persistent marine stratus from Mediterranean influences, with sea-breeze timing as a key differentiator; official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service throughout the day will refine resolution near local noon maxima. Historical May averages hover near 26°C, aligning with this clustered trader sentiment amid typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes