Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid typical early-May climatology. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest model run projects a 29°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, while AccuWeather indicates 28°C, factoring in higher cloud cover and potential thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and sea breezes enhance convective activity, introducing uncertainty in peak solar insolation. Historical May 2 highs average 29°C, but passing precipitation risks favor the lower outcome; monitor hourly updates from official stations for resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
$12,449 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,449 Vol.
2 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
34%
29°C
32%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
4%
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
$12,449 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,449 Vol.
2 may 2026
22°C or below
$649 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,208 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$979 Vol.
1%
25°C
$802 Vol.
1%
26°C
$620 Vol.
4%
27°C
$619 Vol.
8%
28°C
$491 Vol.
34%
29°C
$343 Vol.
32%
30°C
$626 Vol.
17%
31°C
$626 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$816 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid typical early-May climatology. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest model run projects a 29°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, while AccuWeather indicates 28°C, factoring in higher cloud cover and potential thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and sea breezes enhance convective activity, introducing uncertainty in peak solar insolation. Historical May 2 highs average 29°C, but passing precipitation risks favor the lower outcome; monitor hourly updates from official stations for resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$12,449Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid typical early-May climatology. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest model run projects a 29°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, while AccuWeather indicates 28°C, factoring in higher cloud cover and potential thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and sea breezes enhance convective activity, introducing uncertainty in peak solar insolation. Historical May 2 highs average 29°C, but passing precipitation risks favor the lower outcome; monitor hourly updates from official stations for resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,449Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid typical early-May climatology. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest model run projects a 29°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, while AccuWeather indicates 28°C, factoring in higher cloud cover and potential thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and sea breezes enhance convective activity, introducing uncertainty in peak solar insolation. Historical May 2 highs average 29°C, but passing precipitation risks favor the lower outcome; monitor hourly updates from official stations for resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes