Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (25.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS centering around 28-29°C amid early May climatological norms of 28°C rising to 29.5°C. Pre-monsoon humidity fosters scattered thunderstorms and cloud development, potentially capping peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial clearing or delayed sea breeze from the South China Sea could push to 29°C through urban heat island amplification. Differentiation hinges on onshore wind timing and strength—stronger southerlies favor lower outcomes—against yesterday's cooler May 1 high near 27°C; new China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
29°C 31%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
$13,356 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,356 Vol.
2 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
$13,356 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,356 Vol.
2 may 2026
22°C or below
$775 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$986 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$825 Vol.
1%
26°C
$663 Vol.
3%
27°C
$655 Vol.
7%
28°C
$547 Vol.
26%
29°C
$365 Vol.
31%
30°C
$641 Vol.
19%
31°C
$666 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$998 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (25.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS centering around 28-29°C amid early May climatological norms of 28°C rising to 29.5°C. Pre-monsoon humidity fosters scattered thunderstorms and cloud development, potentially capping peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial clearing or delayed sea breeze from the South China Sea could push to 29°C through urban heat island amplification. Differentiation hinges on onshore wind timing and strength—stronger southerlies favor lower outcomes—against yesterday's cooler May 1 high near 27°C; new China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$13,356Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (25.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS centering around 28-29°C amid early May climatological norms of 28°C rising to 29.5°C. Pre-monsoon humidity fosters scattered thunderstorms and cloud development, potentially capping peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial clearing or delayed sea breeze from the South China Sea could push to 29°C through urban heat island amplification. Differentiation hinges on onshore wind timing and strength—stronger southerlies favor lower outcomes—against yesterday's cooler May 1 high near 27°C; new China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,356Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (25.5%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 2 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS centering around 28-29°C amid early May climatological norms of 28°C rising to 29.5°C. Pre-monsoon humidity fosters scattered thunderstorms and cloud development, potentially capping peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial clearing or delayed sea breeze from the South China Sea could push to 29°C through urban heat island amplification. Differentiation hinges on onshore wind timing and strength—stronger southerlies favor lower outcomes—against yesterday's cooler May 1 high near 27°C; new China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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