Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (42.5%) as the highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 26-28°C (79-82°F) under intervals of clouds and sunshine, with morning observations already at 21°C (70°F) amid clear conditions. This positioning reflects moderating influences from sea breezes and elevated pre-monsoon humidity in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, where early May climatological highs average 28°C but cloud cover from recent cold-warm air interactions caps intensification. April trends showed similar 25-28°C highs, reinforcing model agreement; real-time hourly data from official stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 1?
28°C 36%
27°C 31%
29°C 12.5%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
$20,822 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,822 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
31%
28°C
36%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
4%
28°C 36%
27°C 31%
29°C 12.5%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
$20,822 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,822 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
$2,066 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,343 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,069 Vol.
10%
27°C
$1,433 Vol.
31%
28°C
$2,175 Vol.
36%
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$2,883 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (42.5%) as the highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 26-28°C (79-82°F) under intervals of clouds and sunshine, with morning observations already at 21°C (70°F) amid clear conditions. This positioning reflects moderating influences from sea breezes and elevated pre-monsoon humidity in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, where early May climatological highs average 28°C but cloud cover from recent cold-warm air interactions caps intensification. April trends showed similar 25-28°C highs, reinforcing model agreement; real-time hourly data from official stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$20,822Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (42.5%) as the highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 26-28°C (79-82°F) under intervals of clouds and sunshine, with morning observations already at 21°C (70°F) amid clear conditions. This positioning reflects moderating influences from sea breezes and elevated pre-monsoon humidity in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, where early May climatological highs average 28°C but cloud cover from recent cold-warm air interactions caps intensification. April trends showed similar 25-28°C highs, reinforcing model agreement; real-time hourly data from official stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,822Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (42.5%) as the highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 26-28°C (79-82°F) under intervals of clouds and sunshine, with morning observations already at 21°C (70°F) amid clear conditions. This positioning reflects moderating influences from sea breezes and elevated pre-monsoon humidity in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, where early May climatological highs average 28°C but cloud cover from recent cold-warm air interactions caps intensification. April trends showed similar 25-28°C highs, reinforcing model agreement; real-time hourly data from official stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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