Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin high temperature of 25°C at 30.5% implied probability for Shanghai on May 15, edging out 24°C at 26.0%, amid model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks between 24-26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10-15 km/h. Recent observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—resolution site for this market—saw highs near 24-25°C on May 14, reflecting a cooler spell versus May's climatological average of 25°C amid East Asian monsoon transition. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating and urban heat island amplification, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon convective timing; watch China Meteorological Administration updates at 08:00 local time for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
14%
24°C
28%
25°C
31%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
20°C or below
$371 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,038 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
2%
23°C
$786 Vol.
14%
24°C
$522 Vol.
28%
25°C
$737 Vol.
31%
26°C
$390 Vol.
20%
27°C
$677 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,198 Vol.
3%
29°C
$797 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin high temperature of 25°C at 30.5% implied probability for Shanghai on May 15, edging out 24°C at 26.0%, amid model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks between 24-26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10-15 km/h. Recent observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—resolution site for this market—saw highs near 24-25°C on May 14, reflecting a cooler spell versus May's climatological average of 25°C amid East Asian monsoon transition. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating and urban heat island amplification, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon convective timing; watch China Meteorological Administration updates at 08:00 local time for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$8,150Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin high temperature of 25°C at 30.5% implied probability for Shanghai on May 15, edging out 24°C at 26.0%, amid model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks between 24-26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10-15 km/h. Recent observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—resolution site for this market—saw highs near 24-25°C on May 14, reflecting a cooler spell versus May's climatological average of 25°C amid East Asian monsoon transition. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating and urban heat island amplification, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon convective timing; watch China Meteorological Administration updates at 08:00 local time for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,150Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin high temperature of 25°C at 30.5% implied probability for Shanghai on May 15, edging out 24°C at 26.0%, amid model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks between 24-26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10-15 km/h. Recent observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—resolution site for this market—saw highs near 24-25°C on May 14, reflecting a cooler spell versus May's climatological average of 25°C amid East Asian monsoon transition. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating and urban heat island amplification, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon convective timing; watch China Meteorological Administration updates at 08:00 local time for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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