Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Shanghai on May 1 (93% implied probability), anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting exactly that peak at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10 mph. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clusters tightly at 24–26°C, reflecting a cool morning start near 12–13°C that limits rapid diurnal heating in Shanghai's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early-May averages hover at 23–25°C based on decades of observatory data. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add minor upside potential, but persistent cloud cover tempers extremes. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine pushing toward 26°C (7% odds) or thicker overcast dropping to 24°C; intraday hourly observations from Pudong will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
25°C 95.6%
26°C 3.4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,640 Vol.
$134,640 Vol.
1 may 2026
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
25°C 95.6%
26°C 3.4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,640 Vol.
$134,640 Vol.
1 may 2026
21°C
$8,572 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$22,531 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$23,235 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$26,236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,056 Vol.
96%
26°C
$11,674 Vol.
3%
27°C
$9,646 Vol.
1%
28°C
$6,309 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$8,476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Shanghai on May 1 (93% implied probability), anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting exactly that peak at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10 mph. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clusters tightly at 24–26°C, reflecting a cool morning start near 12–13°C that limits rapid diurnal heating in Shanghai's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early-May averages hover at 23–25°C based on decades of observatory data. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add minor upside potential, but persistent cloud cover tempers extremes. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine pushing toward 26°C (7% odds) or thicker overcast dropping to 24°C; intraday hourly observations from Pudong will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$134,640Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Shanghai on May 1 (93% implied probability), anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting exactly that peak at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10 mph. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clusters tightly at 24–26°C, reflecting a cool morning start near 12–13°C that limits rapid diurnal heating in Shanghai's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early-May averages hover at 23–25°C based on decades of observatory data. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add minor upside potential, but persistent cloud cover tempers extremes. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine pushing toward 26°C (7% odds) or thicker overcast dropping to 24°C; intraday hourly observations from Pudong will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$134,640Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Shanghai on May 1 (93% implied probability), anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting exactly that peak at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds around 10 mph. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clusters tightly at 24–26°C, reflecting a cool morning start near 12–13°C that limits rapid diurnal heating in Shanghai's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early-May averages hover at 23–25°C based on decades of observatory data. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add minor upside potential, but persistent cloud cover tempers extremes. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine pushing toward 26°C (7% odds) or thicker overcast dropping to 24°C; intraday hourly observations from Pudong will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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