Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 99.3% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 64°F or higher on May 1, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak of 69-71°F under partly cloudy skies with light north winds at 9 mph. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs showing robust diurnal heating in a stable boundary layer, minimal precipitation risk (5%), and alignment with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and below-normal rain in the Pacific Northwest. Early April's first 70°F reading at Sea-Tac Airport signals the warming trend. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus incursion suppressing highs, though offshore flow reduces this likelihood; monitor hourly observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
64°F or higher 99.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
45°F or below <1%
$24,841 Vol.
$24,841 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 99.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
45°F or below <1%
$24,841 Vol.
$24,841 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$628 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$422 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$348 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$653 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$642 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,133 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$2,844 Vol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$16,769 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 99.3% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 64°F or higher on May 1, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak of 69-71°F under partly cloudy skies with light north winds at 9 mph. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs showing robust diurnal heating in a stable boundary layer, minimal precipitation risk (5%), and alignment with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and below-normal rain in the Pacific Northwest. Early April's first 70°F reading at Sea-Tac Airport signals the warming trend. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus incursion suppressing highs, though offshore flow reduces this likelihood; monitor hourly observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$24,841Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 99.3% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 64°F or higher on May 1, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak of 69-71°F under partly cloudy skies with light north winds at 9 mph. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs showing robust diurnal heating in a stable boundary layer, minimal precipitation risk (5%), and alignment with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and below-normal rain in the Pacific Northwest. Early April's first 70°F reading at Sea-Tac Airport signals the warming trend. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus incursion suppressing highs, though offshore flow reduces this likelihood; monitor hourly observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,841Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 99.3% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 64°F or higher on May 1, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak of 69-71°F under partly cloudy skies with light north winds at 9 mph. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs showing robust diurnal heating in a stable boundary layer, minimal precipitation risk (5%), and alignment with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and below-normal rain in the Pacific Northwest. Early April's first 70°F reading at Sea-Tac Airport signals the warming trend. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus incursion suppressing highs, though offshore flow reduces this likelihood; monitor hourly observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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