Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 29°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.0%), driven by conflicting official forecasts amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversions and above-average autumn temperatures in São Paulo, well exceeding May's climatological high of 23–24°C. INMET's latest guidance projects a 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with 55–95% humidity, while Climatempo models indicate 29°C; differentiating factors include variable low-level clouds, potential afternoon sea breeze incursions delaying peak heating, and urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport. Overnight INMET updates and morning soundings could sharpen model consensus before resolution via finalized Wunderground observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 2 de mayo?
29 °C 42%
28°C 34%
27°C 12.0%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
34%
29 °C
42%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
29 °C 42%
28°C 34%
27°C 12.0%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C o menos
$588 Vol.
1%
24°C
$191 Vol.
1%
25°C
$204 Vol.
1%
26°C
$504 Vol.
2%
27°C
$127 Vol.
12%
28°C
$608 Vol.
34%
29 °C
$556 Vol.
42%
30°C
$166 Vol.
10%
31°C
$261 Vol.
4%
32°C
$136 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$215 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 29°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.0%), driven by conflicting official forecasts amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversions and above-average autumn temperatures in São Paulo, well exceeding May's climatological high of 23–24°C. INMET's latest guidance projects a 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with 55–95% humidity, while Climatempo models indicate 29°C; differentiating factors include variable low-level clouds, potential afternoon sea breeze incursions delaying peak heating, and urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport. Overnight INMET updates and morning soundings could sharpen model consensus before resolution via finalized Wunderground observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$3,550Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 29°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.0%), driven by conflicting official forecasts amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversions and above-average autumn temperatures in São Paulo, well exceeding May's climatological high of 23–24°C. INMET's latest guidance projects a 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with 55–95% humidity, while Climatempo models indicate 29°C; differentiating factors include variable low-level clouds, potential afternoon sea breeze incursions delaying peak heating, and urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport. Overnight INMET updates and morning soundings could sharpen model consensus before resolution via finalized Wunderground observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,550Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 29°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.0%), driven by conflicting official forecasts amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversions and above-average autumn temperatures in São Paulo, well exceeding May's climatological high of 23–24°C. INMET's latest guidance projects a 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with 55–95% humidity, while Climatempo models indicate 29°C; differentiating factors include variable low-level clouds, potential afternoon sea breeze incursions delaying peak heating, and urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport. Overnight INMET updates and morning soundings could sharpen model consensus before resolution via finalized Wunderground observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes