Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between a high of 66°F or higher (48%) and 64-65°F (43.5%) for San Francisco today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of partly sunny conditions with a high near 66°F amid persistent west winds of 10-15 mph from a strengthening coastal jet. This marine layer advection—cool, moist air from Pacific upwelling—has capped recent highs, like yesterday's 62°F maximum, while variable stratus cloud burn-off determines peak heating. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster in the mid-60s, with historical May averages around 65-68°F providing context; intraday observations from downtown or SFO stations through afternoon will resolve, as onshore flow limits convective warming.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 14?
66°F or higher 49%
64-65°F 43%
62-63°F 12.4%
60-61°F 2.0%
NUEVO
$17,619 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,619 Vol.
14 may 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
43%
66°F or higher
49%
66°F or higher 49%
64-65°F 43%
62-63°F 12.4%
60-61°F 2.0%
NUEVO
$17,619 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,619 Vol.
14 may 2026
47°F or below
$671 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$658 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,930 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,824 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,632 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$2,225 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$2,375 Vol.
43%
66°F or higher
$2,805 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between a high of 66°F or higher (48%) and 64-65°F (43.5%) for San Francisco today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of partly sunny conditions with a high near 66°F amid persistent west winds of 10-15 mph from a strengthening coastal jet. This marine layer advection—cool, moist air from Pacific upwelling—has capped recent highs, like yesterday's 62°F maximum, while variable stratus cloud burn-off determines peak heating. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster in the mid-60s, with historical May averages around 65-68°F providing context; intraday observations from downtown or SFO stations through afternoon will resolve, as onshore flow limits convective warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$17,619Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between a high of 66°F or higher (48%) and 64-65°F (43.5%) for San Francisco today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of partly sunny conditions with a high near 66°F amid persistent west winds of 10-15 mph from a strengthening coastal jet. This marine layer advection—cool, moist air from Pacific upwelling—has capped recent highs, like yesterday's 62°F maximum, while variable stratus cloud burn-off determines peak heating. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster in the mid-60s, with historical May averages around 65-68°F providing context; intraday observations from downtown or SFO stations through afternoon will resolve, as onshore flow limits convective warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,619Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between a high of 66°F or higher (48%) and 64-65°F (43.5%) for San Francisco today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of partly sunny conditions with a high near 66°F amid persistent west winds of 10-15 mph from a strengthening coastal jet. This marine layer advection—cool, moist air from Pacific upwelling—has capped recent highs, like yesterday's 62°F maximum, while variable stratus cloud burn-off determines peak heating. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster in the mid-60s, with historical May averages around 65-68°F providing context; intraday observations from downtown or SFO stations through afternoon will resolve, as onshore flow limits convective warming.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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