National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a peak temperature of 73°F at 12:10 p.m. on April 30, 2026, under clear skies (CLR), solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher on Polymarket. This outcome aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 67°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and limited marine layer influence amid light onshore flow—conditions exceeding the typical late-April average of 63°F. Scenarios challenging this, such as thickened coastal stratus or sudden gusty winds enhancing advection fog, did not materialize, with ample solar insolation enabling the observed surge. Final KSFO data will trigger market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 30?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$56,298 Vol.
$56,298 Vol.
30 abr 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$56,298 Vol.
$56,298 Vol.
30 abr 2026
47°F or below
$3,361 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,471 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,859 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,942 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,282 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,569 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,175 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$5,595 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$9,943 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$8,575 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$17,526 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a peak temperature of 73°F at 12:10 p.m. on April 30, 2026, under clear skies (CLR), solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher on Polymarket. This outcome aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 67°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and limited marine layer influence amid light onshore flow—conditions exceeding the typical late-April average of 63°F. Scenarios challenging this, such as thickened coastal stratus or sudden gusty winds enhancing advection fog, did not materialize, with ample solar insolation enabling the observed surge. Final KSFO data will trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volumen
$56,298Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a peak temperature of 73°F at 12:10 p.m. on April 30, 2026, under clear skies (CLR), solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher on Polymarket. This outcome aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 67°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and limited marine layer influence amid light onshore flow—conditions exceeding the typical late-April average of 63°F. Scenarios challenging this, such as thickened coastal stratus or sudden gusty winds enhancing advection fog, did not materialize, with ample solar insolation enabling the observed surge. Final KSFO data will trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,298Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a peak temperature of 73°F at 12:10 p.m. on April 30, 2026, under clear skies (CLR), solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher on Polymarket. This outcome aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 67°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and limited marine layer influence amid light onshore flow—conditions exceeding the typical late-April average of 63°F. Scenarios challenging this, such as thickened coastal stratus or sudden gusty winds enhancing advection fog, did not materialize, with ample solar insolation enabling the observed surge. Final KSFO data will trigger market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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