Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 23°C or below in Qingdao at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts projecting a peak near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds up to 10 m/s, and overcast conditions limiting solar heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles align, reflecting a cool air mass following variable spring patterns—25°C on May 6 but dropping to 17-21°C mid-week amid alternating fronts. Climatological May highs average 20°C, with current breezy onshore flow further capping temperatures; 24°C at 19.5% accounts for potential afternoon clearing. Observations through evening will confirm, as resolution hinges on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 71%
24°C 20%
25°C 2.5%
26°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
23°C or below
71%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 71%
24°C 20%
25°C 2.5%
26°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,225 Vol.
71%
24°C
$454 Vol.
20%
25°C
$944 Vol.
2%
26°C
$355 Vol.
1%
27°C
$595 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$735 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 23°C or below in Qingdao at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts projecting a peak near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds up to 10 m/s, and overcast conditions limiting solar heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles align, reflecting a cool air mass following variable spring patterns—25°C on May 6 but dropping to 17-21°C mid-week amid alternating fronts. Climatological May highs average 20°C, with current breezy onshore flow further capping temperatures; 24°C at 19.5% accounts for potential afternoon clearing. Observations through evening will confirm, as resolution hinges on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$9,468Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 23°C or below in Qingdao at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts projecting a peak near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds up to 10 m/s, and overcast conditions limiting solar heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles align, reflecting a cool air mass following variable spring patterns—25°C on May 6 but dropping to 17-21°C mid-week amid alternating fronts. Climatological May highs average 20°C, with current breezy onshore flow further capping temperatures; 24°C at 19.5% accounts for potential afternoon clearing. Observations through evening will confirm, as resolution hinges on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,468Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 23°C or below in Qingdao at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts projecting a peak near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds up to 10 m/s, and overcast conditions limiting solar heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles align, reflecting a cool air mass following variable spring patterns—25°C on May 6 but dropping to 17-21°C mid-week amid alternating fronts. Climatological May highs average 20°C, with current breezy onshore flow further capping temperatures; 24°C at 19.5% accounts for potential afternoon clearing. Observations through evening will confirm, as resolution hinges on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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