Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C as Paris's highest temperature today at 59% implied probability, aligned with the latest Météo France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks near 25°C under a transitional high-pressure ridge yielding to cloudy conditions and southerly flow. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged on this range amid positive spring temperature anomalies above the historical May 1 average of 19°C, with AccuWeather pinpointing 24°C amid expected afternoon showers. Thunderstorm risks per yellow alerts could cap intensity at 24°C (22.5%) or allow brief 26°C spikes (13.5%) if cloud breaks occur; monitor hourly observations from official Paris-Montsouris station for resolution as the Labor Day holiday unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
25°C 56%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.3%
$56,699 Vol.
$56,699 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
21%
25°C
56%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.3%
$56,699 Vol.
$56,699 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$3,255 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,700 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,379 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10,685 Vol.
4%
24°C
$8,025 Vol.
21%
25°C
$6,040 Vol.
56%
26°C
$6,306 Vol.
13%
27°C
$5,547 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5,857 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,844 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C as Paris's highest temperature today at 59% implied probability, aligned with the latest Météo France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks near 25°C under a transitional high-pressure ridge yielding to cloudy conditions and southerly flow. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged on this range amid positive spring temperature anomalies above the historical May 1 average of 19°C, with AccuWeather pinpointing 24°C amid expected afternoon showers. Thunderstorm risks per yellow alerts could cap intensity at 24°C (22.5%) or allow brief 26°C spikes (13.5%) if cloud breaks occur; monitor hourly observations from official Paris-Montsouris station for resolution as the Labor Day holiday unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$56,699Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C as Paris's highest temperature today at 59% implied probability, aligned with the latest Météo France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks near 25°C under a transitional high-pressure ridge yielding to cloudy conditions and southerly flow. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged on this range amid positive spring temperature anomalies above the historical May 1 average of 19°C, with AccuWeather pinpointing 24°C amid expected afternoon showers. Thunderstorm risks per yellow alerts could cap intensity at 24°C (22.5%) or allow brief 26°C spikes (13.5%) if cloud breaks occur; monitor hourly observations from official Paris-Montsouris station for resolution as the Labor Day holiday unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,699Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C as Paris's highest temperature today at 59% implied probability, aligned with the latest Météo France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks near 25°C under a transitional high-pressure ridge yielding to cloudy conditions and southerly flow. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged on this range amid positive spring temperature anomalies above the historical May 1 average of 19°C, with AccuWeather pinpointing 24°C amid expected afternoon showers. Thunderstorm risks per yellow alerts could cap intensity at 24°C (22.5%) or allow brief 26°C spikes (13.5%) if cloud breaks occur; monitor hourly observations from official Paris-Montsouris station for resolution as the Labor Day holiday unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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