Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a midday high of 64-67°F at NYC's Central Park station most likely, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance blending GFS and ECMWF ensembles that converge on mid-60s peaks amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore breezes. A weak low-pressure system departing yesterday introduced scattered showers and cooler mid-level air, capping temperatures 4-7°F below the 71°F May 15 climatological average, with current light rain at 67°F underscoring the marine influence. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—persistent overcast favors 62-65°F, while partial clearing could push 66-69°F—against low odds for extremes given weak instability. NWS hourly updates later today will refine this ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
55°F or below
$601 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$346 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,111 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$608 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$899 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$629 Vol.
31%
66-67°F
$573 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$575 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$633 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$615 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$1,556 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a midday high of 64-67°F at NYC's Central Park station most likely, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance blending GFS and ECMWF ensembles that converge on mid-60s peaks amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore breezes. A weak low-pressure system departing yesterday introduced scattered showers and cooler mid-level air, capping temperatures 4-7°F below the 71°F May 15 climatological average, with current light rain at 67°F underscoring the marine influence. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—persistent overcast favors 62-65°F, while partial clearing could push 66-69°F—against low odds for extremes given weak instability. NWS hourly updates later today will refine this ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a midday high of 64-67°F at NYC's Central Park station most likely, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance blending GFS and ECMWF ensembles that converge on mid-60s peaks amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore breezes. A weak low-pressure system departing yesterday introduced scattered showers and cooler mid-level air, capping temperatures 4-7°F below the 71°F May 15 climatological average, with current light rain at 67°F underscoring the marine influence. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—persistent overcast favors 62-65°F, while partial clearing could push 66-69°F—against low odds for extremes given weak instability. NWS hourly updates later today will refine this ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a midday high of 64-67°F at NYC's Central Park station most likely, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance blending GFS and ECMWF ensembles that converge on mid-60s peaks amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore breezes. A weak low-pressure system departing yesterday introduced scattered showers and cooler mid-level air, capping temperatures 4-7°F below the 71°F May 15 climatological average, with current light rain at 67°F underscoring the marine influence. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—persistent overcast favors 62-65°F, while partial clearing could push 66-69°F—against low odds for extremes given weak instability. NWS hourly updates later today will refine this ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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