Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's May 2 high temperature, with 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (25.0%) edging out 14°C (19.5%) amid model spread from the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Recent developments show mild warming after a cool, rainy late April, with today's overcast conditions (+1–7°C) transitioning to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (2–4 m/s), and daytime peaks near 12–14°C around 3 p.m. local time. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—thicker overcast capping at 12°C versus breaks allowing 14°C—and urban heat effects at the official VDNKh station. New hourly observations and evening model updates could refine odds before resolution based on verified 24-hour maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Moscú el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más alta en Moscú el 2 de mayo?
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
15°C 17.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
21%
15°C
13%
16°C
7%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C o más
1%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
15°C 17.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
$1,210 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,086 Vol.
2%
11°C
$552 Vol.
10%
12°C
$452 Vol.
26%
13°C
$310 Vol.
26%
14°C
$236 Vol.
21%
15°C
$184 Vol.
13%
16°C
$696 Vol.
7%
17°C
$445 Vol.
4%
18°C
$553 Vol.
2%
19°C o más
$515 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's May 2 high temperature, with 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (25.0%) edging out 14°C (19.5%) amid model spread from the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Recent developments show mild warming after a cool, rainy late April, with today's overcast conditions (+1–7°C) transitioning to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (2–4 m/s), and daytime peaks near 12–14°C around 3 p.m. local time. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—thicker overcast capping at 12°C versus breaks allowing 14°C—and urban heat effects at the official VDNKh station. New hourly observations and evening model updates could refine odds before resolution based on verified 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,153Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's May 2 high temperature, with 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (25.0%) edging out 14°C (19.5%) amid model spread from the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Recent developments show mild warming after a cool, rainy late April, with today's overcast conditions (+1–7°C) transitioning to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (2–4 m/s), and daytime peaks near 12–14°C around 3 p.m. local time. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—thicker overcast capping at 12°C versus breaks allowing 14°C—and urban heat effects at the official VDNKh station. New hourly observations and evening model updates could refine odds before resolution based on verified 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,153Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's May 2 high temperature, with 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (25.0%) edging out 14°C (19.5%) amid model spread from the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Recent developments show mild warming after a cool, rainy late April, with today's overcast conditions (+1–7°C) transitioning to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (2–4 m/s), and daytime peaks near 12–14°C around 3 p.m. local time. Differentiating factors include varying cloud cover predictions—thicker overcast capping at 12°C versus breaks allowing 14°C—and urban heat effects at the official VDNKh station. New hourly observations and evening model updates could refine odds before resolution based on verified 24-hour maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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