Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92-93°F at 40% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) May 2 high temperature, closely trailed by 90-91°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight model agreement amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and above-normal heat. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles cluster peaks around 90-93°F, 5°F warmer than the early May climatological normal of 85°F, fueled by dry conditions and light winds delaying sea breeze onset. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier arrival could cap highs at 90-91°F via marine influence, while delay allows 92-95°F peaks—and low risk of isolated afternoon showers. Watch NWS Miami's afternoon forecast update and evening model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de mayo?
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 21.6%
88-89°F 3.9%
NUEVO
$12,554 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,554 Vol.
2 may 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 21.6%
88-89°F 3.9%
NUEVO
$12,554 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,554 Vol.
2 may 2026
83°F o menos
$1,886 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,441 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,583 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$864 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$953 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$971 Vol.
22%
96-97°F
$844 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$831 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$862 Vol.
1%
102°F o más
$939 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92-93°F at 40% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) May 2 high temperature, closely trailed by 90-91°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight model agreement amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and above-normal heat. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles cluster peaks around 90-93°F, 5°F warmer than the early May climatological normal of 85°F, fueled by dry conditions and light winds delaying sea breeze onset. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier arrival could cap highs at 90-91°F via marine influence, while delay allows 92-95°F peaks—and low risk of isolated afternoon showers. Watch NWS Miami's afternoon forecast update and evening model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$12,554Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92-93°F at 40% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) May 2 high temperature, closely trailed by 90-91°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight model agreement amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and above-normal heat. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles cluster peaks around 90-93°F, 5°F warmer than the early May climatological normal of 85°F, fueled by dry conditions and light winds delaying sea breeze onset. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier arrival could cap highs at 90-91°F via marine influence, while delay allows 92-95°F peaks—and low risk of isolated afternoon showers. Watch NWS Miami's afternoon forecast update and evening model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,554Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92-93°F at 40% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) May 2 high temperature, closely trailed by 90-91°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight model agreement amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and above-normal heat. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles cluster peaks around 90-93°F, 5°F warmer than the early May climatological normal of 85°F, fueled by dry conditions and light winds delaying sea breeze onset. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier arrival could cap highs at 90-91°F via marine influence, while delay allows 92-95°F peaks—and low risk of isolated afternoon showers. Watch NWS Miami's afternoon forecast update and evening model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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