Latest AEMET guidance projects a maximum temperature of 20°C at Madrid under clear skies and light northerly winds at 5 km/h, yet ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and supporting forecasts like BBC Weather at 22°C align trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 49% implied probability, reflecting a rebound from the recent cool spell—18°C high on May 12 and around 19°C on May 13 amid lingering clouds and frontal remnants. Mid-May climatological norms near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport provide baseline support, with uncertainty tied to diurnal boundary layer heating and variable mixing heights that could push toward 23°C (24%). Monitor hourly airport observations through mid-afternoon peak and evening AEMET updates for resolution-defining data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
22°C 50%
23°C 24%
21°C 18%
24°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$22,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,174 Vol.
14 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
18%
22°C
50%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 24%
21°C 18%
24°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$22,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,174 Vol.
14 may 2026
18°C or below
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,527 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,824 Vol.
5%
21°C
$2,308 Vol.
18%
22°C
$1,893 Vol.
50%
23°C
$1,838 Vol.
24%
24°C
$2,809 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,594 Vol.
1%
26°C
$664 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance projects a maximum temperature of 20°C at Madrid under clear skies and light northerly winds at 5 km/h, yet ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and supporting forecasts like BBC Weather at 22°C align trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 49% implied probability, reflecting a rebound from the recent cool spell—18°C high on May 12 and around 19°C on May 13 amid lingering clouds and frontal remnants. Mid-May climatological norms near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport provide baseline support, with uncertainty tied to diurnal boundary layer heating and variable mixing heights that could push toward 23°C (24%). Monitor hourly airport observations through mid-afternoon peak and evening AEMET updates for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volumen
$22,174Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance projects a maximum temperature of 20°C at Madrid under clear skies and light northerly winds at 5 km/h, yet ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and supporting forecasts like BBC Weather at 22°C align trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 49% implied probability, reflecting a rebound from the recent cool spell—18°C high on May 12 and around 19°C on May 13 amid lingering clouds and frontal remnants. Mid-May climatological norms near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport provide baseline support, with uncertainty tied to diurnal boundary layer heating and variable mixing heights that could push toward 23°C (24%). Monitor hourly airport observations through mid-afternoon peak and evening AEMET updates for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,174Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance projects a maximum temperature of 20°C at Madrid under clear skies and light northerly winds at 5 km/h, yet ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and supporting forecasts like BBC Weather at 22°C align trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 49% implied probability, reflecting a rebound from the recent cool spell—18°C high on May 12 and around 19°C on May 13 amid lingering clouds and frontal remnants. Mid-May climatological norms near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport provide baseline support, with uncertainty tied to diurnal boundary layer heating and variable mixing heights that could push toward 23°C (24%). Monitor hourly airport observations through mid-afternoon peak and evening AEMET updates for resolution-defining data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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