Recent global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, alongside commercial projections like AccuWeather, indicate Lagos highs clustering near 33-34°C on May 2, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 25.5% implied probability for 34°C and 24% for 33°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook flags above-normal temperatures nationwide, consistent with early May's tropical maritime climate where sea breezes and emerging convective showers could cap peaks below climatological norms of 31-32°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies. Key differentiators include cloud cover from thunderstorms and humidity-driven instability; fresh model runs due today from NOAA and ECMWF may sharpen consensus before official airport station measurements resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
34°C 34%
33°C 22%
32°C 21%
35°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
22%
34°C
28%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 22%
32°C 21%
35°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
27°C or below
$3,630 Vol.
1%
28°C
$583 Vol.
2%
29°C
$248 Vol.
3%
30°C
$56 Vol.
5%
31°C
$19 Vol.
8%
32°C
$62 Vol.
21%
33°C
$31 Vol.
22%
34°C
$109 Vol.
28%
35°C
$57 Vol.
11%
36°C
$214 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$1,396 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, alongside commercial projections like AccuWeather, indicate Lagos highs clustering near 33-34°C on May 2, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 25.5% implied probability for 34°C and 24% for 33°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook flags above-normal temperatures nationwide, consistent with early May's tropical maritime climate where sea breezes and emerging convective showers could cap peaks below climatological norms of 31-32°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies. Key differentiators include cloud cover from thunderstorms and humidity-driven instability; fresh model runs due today from NOAA and ECMWF may sharpen consensus before official airport station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$6,406Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, alongside commercial projections like AccuWeather, indicate Lagos highs clustering near 33-34°C on May 2, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 25.5% implied probability for 34°C and 24% for 33°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook flags above-normal temperatures nationwide, consistent with early May's tropical maritime climate where sea breezes and emerging convective showers could cap peaks below climatological norms of 31-32°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies. Key differentiators include cloud cover from thunderstorms and humidity-driven instability; fresh model runs due today from NOAA and ECMWF may sharpen consensus before official airport station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,406Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, alongside commercial projections like AccuWeather, indicate Lagos highs clustering near 33-34°C on May 2, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 25.5% implied probability for 34°C and 24% for 33°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook flags above-normal temperatures nationwide, consistent with early May's tropical maritime climate where sea breezes and emerging convective showers could cap peaks below climatological norms of 31-32°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies. Key differentiators include cloud cover from thunderstorms and humidity-driven instability; fresh model runs due today from NOAA and ECMWF may sharpen consensus before official airport station measurements resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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