Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Karachi's highest temperature on May 2, with 38°C at 36% implied probability edging 37°C at 32%, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert extending through May 3 amid southwesterly winds and high humidity pushing heat index values to 45°C. Recent observations show April peaks exceeding 39°C, with May 1 forecasts at 36-38°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence and warming Arabian Sea surface temperatures above 28°C fueling pre-monsoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential coastal sea breeze moderation versus inland advection of hot air; minor thunderstorm risks per PMD weekly outlook could cap peaks at 36-37°C, while clear skies favor 38°C+. Watch PMD's evening update for refined model guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
38°C 36%
37°C 33%
39°C or higher 17.5%
36°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
33%
38°C
36%
39°C or higher
18%
38°C 36%
37°C 33%
39°C or higher 17.5%
36°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
$771 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,061 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$788 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$995 Vol.
1%
35°C
$425 Vol.
3%
36°C
$279 Vol.
15%
37°C
$187 Vol.
33%
38°C
$187 Vol.
36%
39°C or higher
$437 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Karachi's highest temperature on May 2, with 38°C at 36% implied probability edging 37°C at 32%, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert extending through May 3 amid southwesterly winds and high humidity pushing heat index values to 45°C. Recent observations show April peaks exceeding 39°C, with May 1 forecasts at 36-38°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence and warming Arabian Sea surface temperatures above 28°C fueling pre-monsoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential coastal sea breeze moderation versus inland advection of hot air; minor thunderstorm risks per PMD weekly outlook could cap peaks at 36-37°C, while clear skies favor 38°C+. Watch PMD's evening update for refined model guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$6,554Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Karachi's highest temperature on May 2, with 38°C at 36% implied probability edging 37°C at 32%, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert extending through May 3 amid southwesterly winds and high humidity pushing heat index values to 45°C. Recent observations show April peaks exceeding 39°C, with May 1 forecasts at 36-38°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence and warming Arabian Sea surface temperatures above 28°C fueling pre-monsoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential coastal sea breeze moderation versus inland advection of hot air; minor thunderstorm risks per PMD weekly outlook could cap peaks at 36-37°C, while clear skies favor 38°C+. Watch PMD's evening update for refined model guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,554Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Karachi's highest temperature on May 2, with 38°C at 36% implied probability edging 37°C at 32%, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert extending through May 3 amid southwesterly winds and high humidity pushing heat index values to 45°C. Recent observations show April peaks exceeding 39°C, with May 1 forecasts at 36-38°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence and warming Arabian Sea surface temperatures above 28°C fueling pre-monsoon heating. Differentiating factors include potential coastal sea breeze moderation versus inland advection of hot air; minor thunderstorm risks per PMD weekly outlook could cap peaks at 36-37°C, while clear skies favor 38°C+. Watch PMD's evening update for refined model guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes