Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm hot and humid conditions for Karachi on May 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 35–37°C under persistent high-pressure systems and subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, elevating market-implied odds to 65.5% for 36°C or higher. This trader consensus reflects recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligning on peak afternoon heat around 36–37°C, amid a Sindh-wide heatwave where temperatures have run 4–6°C above May climatological normals of 34–35°C. Elevated sea surface temperatures and pre-monsoon aridity amplify warming potential, though evening sea breezes and occasional cloudiness introduce uncertainty, pricing 35°C at 22.5%. Official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution by day's end, with intraday updates potentially shifting probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
36°C or higher 68%
35°C 23%
34°C 8%
33°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$15,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,827 Vol.
14 may 2026
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
23%
36°C or higher
68%
36°C or higher 68%
35°C 23%
34°C 8%
33°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$15,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,827 Vol.
14 may 2026
32°C
$2,063 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,048 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,855 Vol.
8%
35°C
$1,229 Vol.
23%
36°C or higher
$1,294 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm hot and humid conditions for Karachi on May 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 35–37°C under persistent high-pressure systems and subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, elevating market-implied odds to 65.5% for 36°C or higher. This trader consensus reflects recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligning on peak afternoon heat around 36–37°C, amid a Sindh-wide heatwave where temperatures have run 4–6°C above May climatological normals of 34–35°C. Elevated sea surface temperatures and pre-monsoon aridity amplify warming potential, though evening sea breezes and occasional cloudiness introduce uncertainty, pricing 35°C at 22.5%. Official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution by day's end, with intraday updates potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$15,827Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm hot and humid conditions for Karachi on May 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 35–37°C under persistent high-pressure systems and subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, elevating market-implied odds to 65.5% for 36°C or higher. This trader consensus reflects recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligning on peak afternoon heat around 36–37°C, amid a Sindh-wide heatwave where temperatures have run 4–6°C above May climatological normals of 34–35°C. Elevated sea surface temperatures and pre-monsoon aridity amplify warming potential, though evening sea breezes and occasional cloudiness introduce uncertainty, pricing 35°C at 22.5%. Official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution by day's end, with intraday updates potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,827Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm hot and humid conditions for Karachi on May 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 35–37°C under persistent high-pressure systems and subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, elevating market-implied odds to 65.5% for 36°C or higher. This trader consensus reflects recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS aligning on peak afternoon heat around 36–37°C, amid a Sindh-wide heatwave where temperatures have run 4–6°C above May climatological normals of 34–35°C. Elevated sea surface temperatures and pre-monsoon aridity amplify warming potential, though evening sea breezes and occasional cloudiness introduce uncertainty, pricing 35°C at 22.5%. Official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution by day's end, with intraday updates potentially shifting probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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