Trader consensus strongly favors 37°C or higher at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department projecting Karachi's daytime high around 38-40°C today amid persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. High-pressure systems and abundant sunshine have fueled intense solar heating, with southwesterly sea breezes offering only marginal relief despite hazy skies and winds up to 20 mph. Recent observational data shows April highs consistently exceeding 37°C, including 39°C on April 26, while PMD warnings extended the heatwave through May 5, reinforcing trader positioning. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk, though unexpected cloud development could slightly moderate peaks; real-time airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
37°C or higher 96%
36°C 9%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$16,572 Vol.
$16,572 Vol.
1 may 2026
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
90%
37°C or higher 96%
36°C 9%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$16,572 Vol.
$16,572 Vol.
1 may 2026
28°C
$1,386 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,483 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,757 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,143 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,880 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,262 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,466 Vol.
1%
36°C
$511 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$630 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors 37°C or higher at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department projecting Karachi's daytime high around 38-40°C today amid persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. High-pressure systems and abundant sunshine have fueled intense solar heating, with southwesterly sea breezes offering only marginal relief despite hazy skies and winds up to 20 mph. Recent observational data shows April highs consistently exceeding 37°C, including 39°C on April 26, while PMD warnings extended the heatwave through May 5, reinforcing trader positioning. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk, though unexpected cloud development could slightly moderate peaks; real-time airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$16,572Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors 37°C or higher at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department projecting Karachi's daytime high around 38-40°C today amid persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. High-pressure systems and abundant sunshine have fueled intense solar heating, with southwesterly sea breezes offering only marginal relief despite hazy skies and winds up to 20 mph. Recent observational data shows April highs consistently exceeding 37°C, including 39°C on April 26, while PMD warnings extended the heatwave through May 5, reinforcing trader positioning. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk, though unexpected cloud development could slightly moderate peaks; real-time airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,572Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 37°C or higher at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department projecting Karachi's daytime high around 38-40°C today amid persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. High-pressure systems and abundant sunshine have fueled intense solar heating, with southwesterly sea breezes offering only marginal relief despite hazy skies and winds up to 20 mph. Recent observational data shows April highs consistently exceeding 37°C, including 39°C on April 26, while PMD warnings extended the heatwave through May 5, reinforcing trader positioning. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk, though unexpected cloud development could slightly moderate peaks; real-time airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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