Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 31–36°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting substantial uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from wet to early dry season. BMKG's latest guidance for central Jakarta projects a maximum of 29°C amid cloudy skies and light rain with 85–95% precipitation odds, potentially suppressing peaks through high cloud cover and humidity above 80%. However, international models like those aggregated on world-weather.info forecast up to 33°C with thundery showers, aligning with historical May averages of 32°C at Halim Perdanakusuma station and recent April highs exceeding 35°C. Emerging El Niño conditions (61% NOAA probability for May–July) favor intensified solar heating and drier air, differentiating higher outcomes. Watch BMKG's daily updates for model refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
35°C 6.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
35°C 6.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
28°C or below
$154 Vol.
1%
29°C
$16 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1 Vol.
3%
31°C
$270 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1 Vol.
26%
33°C
$7 Vol.
31%
34°C
$27 Vol.
37%
35°C
$150 Vol.
8%
36°C
$5 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 31–36°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting substantial uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from wet to early dry season. BMKG's latest guidance for central Jakarta projects a maximum of 29°C amid cloudy skies and light rain with 85–95% precipitation odds, potentially suppressing peaks through high cloud cover and humidity above 80%. However, international models like those aggregated on world-weather.info forecast up to 33°C with thundery showers, aligning with historical May averages of 32°C at Halim Perdanakusuma station and recent April highs exceeding 35°C. Emerging El Niño conditions (61% NOAA probability for May–July) favor intensified solar heating and drier air, differentiating higher outcomes. Watch BMKG's daily updates for model refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$1,064Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 31–36°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting substantial uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from wet to early dry season. BMKG's latest guidance for central Jakarta projects a maximum of 29°C amid cloudy skies and light rain with 85–95% precipitation odds, potentially suppressing peaks through high cloud cover and humidity above 80%. However, international models like those aggregated on world-weather.info forecast up to 33°C with thundery showers, aligning with historical May averages of 32°C at Halim Perdanakusuma station and recent April highs exceeding 35°C. Emerging El Niño conditions (61% NOAA probability for May–July) favor intensified solar heating and drier air, differentiating higher outcomes. Watch BMKG's daily updates for model refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,064Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 31–36°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting substantial uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from wet to early dry season. BMKG's latest guidance for central Jakarta projects a maximum of 29°C amid cloudy skies and light rain with 85–95% precipitation odds, potentially suppressing peaks through high cloud cover and humidity above 80%. However, international models like those aggregated on world-weather.info forecast up to 33°C with thundery showers, aligning with historical May averages of 32°C at Halim Perdanakusuma station and recent April highs exceeding 35°C. Emerging El Niño conditions (61% NOAA probability for May–July) favor intensified solar heating and drier air, differentiating higher outcomes. Watch BMKG's daily updates for model refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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