Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F (37% implied probability) for May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office that anticipates persistent cloud cover and widespread showers from a stalled frontal boundary over southeast Texas. Recent observations on May 1 showed overcast skies, thunderstorms, and highs capped in the low-to-mid 70s°F amid northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, well below the climatological May 2 normal of around 87°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling, with 30-70% precipitation chances keeping peaks in the 72-77°F range, though brief clearing could nudge toward 76-77°F. Updated afternoon forecasts and evening model runs may refine exact positioning before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 2 de mayo?
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 5.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
69°F o menos
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 5.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
69°F o menos
$1,677 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$259 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$409 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$506 Vol.
37%
76-77°F
$517 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$319 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$442 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$602 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$319 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$862 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$1,444 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F (37% implied probability) for May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office that anticipates persistent cloud cover and widespread showers from a stalled frontal boundary over southeast Texas. Recent observations on May 1 showed overcast skies, thunderstorms, and highs capped in the low-to-mid 70s°F amid northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, well below the climatological May 2 normal of around 87°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling, with 30-70% precipitation chances keeping peaks in the 72-77°F range, though brief clearing could nudge toward 76-77°F. Updated afternoon forecasts and evening model runs may refine exact positioning before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$7,356Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F (37% implied probability) for May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office that anticipates persistent cloud cover and widespread showers from a stalled frontal boundary over southeast Texas. Recent observations on May 1 showed overcast skies, thunderstorms, and highs capped in the low-to-mid 70s°F amid northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, well below the climatological May 2 normal of around 87°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling, with 30-70% precipitation chances keeping peaks in the 72-77°F range, though brief clearing could nudge toward 76-77°F. Updated afternoon forecasts and evening model runs may refine exact positioning before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,356Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F (37% implied probability) for May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office that anticipates persistent cloud cover and widespread showers from a stalled frontal boundary over southeast Texas. Recent observations on May 1 showed overcast skies, thunderstorms, and highs capped in the low-to-mid 70s°F amid northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, well below the climatological May 2 normal of around 87°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling, with 30-70% precipitation chances keeping peaks in the 72-77°F range, though brief clearing could nudge toward 76-77°F. Updated afternoon forecasts and evening model runs may refine exact positioning before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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