National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders closed positions accordingly. This peak occurred amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 10 mph, and scattered showers that suppressed further daytime heating despite ample sunshine earlier, with no precipitation recorded (0.00 inches). Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data, cross-verified via daily climatological reports, provides robust evidence with minimal revision risk post-24 hours; only an unprecedented data correction from NOAA could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such events are exceedingly rare.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 30?
$113,479 Vol.
$113,479 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90°F or higher
<1%
$113,479 Vol.
$113,479 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders closed positions accordingly. This peak occurred amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 10 mph, and scattered showers that suppressed further daytime heating despite ample sunshine earlier, with no precipitation recorded (0.00 inches). Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data, cross-verified via daily climatological reports, provides robust evidence with minimal revision risk post-24 hours; only an unprecedented data correction from NOAA could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such events are exceedingly rare.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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