Hong Kong Observatory's latest guidance for May 15 indicates mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southerly winds, pointing to a high near 28°C amid seasonal above-normal temperatures, driving tight market-implied odds of 44.5% for 29°C or higher versus 35% exactly at 28°C. Mid-May climatology averages maximums around 28.5°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud fractions and shower timing—persistent overcast suppresses peaks via reduced solar insolation, while afternoon sunny breaks amid warm, humid air could push urban heat island effects toward 29°C. Model ensembles show spread on insolation; monitor HKO's next hourly update and King’s Park observations for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
29°C o más 46%
28°C 35%
27°C 18%
26°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$13,138 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,138 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
35%
29°C o más
46%
29°C o más 46%
28°C 35%
27°C 18%
26°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$13,138 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,138 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,151 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,412 Vol.
1%
24°C
$397 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,010 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,598 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,187 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,190 Vol.
35%
29°C o más
$1,410 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest guidance for May 15 indicates mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southerly winds, pointing to a high near 28°C amid seasonal above-normal temperatures, driving tight market-implied odds of 44.5% for 29°C or higher versus 35% exactly at 28°C. Mid-May climatology averages maximums around 28.5°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud fractions and shower timing—persistent overcast suppresses peaks via reduced solar insolation, while afternoon sunny breaks amid warm, humid air could push urban heat island effects toward 29°C. Model ensembles show spread on insolation; monitor HKO's next hourly update and King’s Park observations for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$13,138Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest guidance for May 15 indicates mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southerly winds, pointing to a high near 28°C amid seasonal above-normal temperatures, driving tight market-implied odds of 44.5% for 29°C or higher versus 35% exactly at 28°C. Mid-May climatology averages maximums around 28.5°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud fractions and shower timing—persistent overcast suppresses peaks via reduced solar insolation, while afternoon sunny breaks amid warm, humid air could push urban heat island effects toward 29°C. Model ensembles show spread on insolation; monitor HKO's next hourly update and King’s Park observations for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,138Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest guidance for May 15 indicates mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southerly winds, pointing to a high near 28°C amid seasonal above-normal temperatures, driving tight market-implied odds of 44.5% for 29°C or higher versus 35% exactly at 28°C. Mid-May climatology averages maximums around 28.5°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud fractions and shower timing—persistent overcast suppresses peaks via reduced solar insolation, while afternoon sunny breaks amid warm, humid air could push urban heat island effects toward 29°C. Model ensembles show spread on insolation; monitor HKO's next hourly update and King’s Park observations for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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