Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for Dallas reaching 86°F or higher on May 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 88–90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations through May 14 show above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s, bolstered by south-southeast winds advecting warm, dry air into North Texas, where ongoing drought conditions limit evaporative cooling. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this warming trend with minimal precipitation risk (10–15%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF agree on peak heating in the mid-afternoon, though slight cloud cover or wind shifts could trim highs to 84–85°F (12.8% odds). Watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
86°F or higher 77%
84-85°F 12.9%
82-83°F 5.0%
78-79°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
77%
86°F or higher 77%
84-85°F 12.9%
82-83°F 5.0%
78-79°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
67°F or below
$697 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$640 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$786 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$449 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$218 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$176 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$228 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$665 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$441 Vol.
13%
86°F or higher
$946 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for Dallas reaching 86°F or higher on May 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 88–90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations through May 14 show above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s, bolstered by south-southeast winds advecting warm, dry air into North Texas, where ongoing drought conditions limit evaporative cooling. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this warming trend with minimal precipitation risk (10–15%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF agree on peak heating in the mid-afternoon, though slight cloud cover or wind shifts could trim highs to 84–85°F (12.8% odds). Watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$5,854Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for Dallas reaching 86°F or higher on May 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 88–90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations through May 14 show above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s, bolstered by south-southeast winds advecting warm, dry air into North Texas, where ongoing drought conditions limit evaporative cooling. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this warming trend with minimal precipitation risk (10–15%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF agree on peak heating in the mid-afternoon, though slight cloud cover or wind shifts could trim highs to 84–85°F (12.8% odds). Watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,854Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for Dallas reaching 86°F or higher on May 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 88–90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations through May 14 show above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s, bolstered by south-southeast winds advecting warm, dry air into North Texas, where ongoing drought conditions limit evaporative cooling. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this warming trend with minimal precipitation risk (10–15%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF agree on peak heating in the mid-afternoon, though slight cloud cover or wind shifts could trim highs to 84–85°F (12.8% odds). Watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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