Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Chongqing's May 2 highest temperature around 20-22°C (market-implied odds of 23-26%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting mild highs amid overcast skies, light rain, and low-level moisture suppressing diurnal heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 19-24°C, with divergences stemming from uncertain cloud cover persistence and potential weak frontal passages that could cap peaks below seasonal norms of 27°C. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-average conditions from ongoing Yangtze basin humidity, differentiating outcomes: fuller sunshine might push toward 23°C+, while prolonged showers favor 19-20°C. Watch CMA updates and evening soundings for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de mayo?
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
22°C 21%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C o más
2%
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
22°C 21%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C o menos
$655 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$424 Vol.
1%
18°C
$770 Vol.
6%
19°C
$384 Vol.
10%
20°C
$119 Vol.
23%
21°C
$227 Vol.
26%
22°C
$188 Vol.
21%
23°C
$52 Vol.
9%
24°C
$1,309 Vol.
3%
25°C o más
$1,681 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Chongqing's May 2 highest temperature around 20-22°C (market-implied odds of 23-26%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting mild highs amid overcast skies, light rain, and low-level moisture suppressing diurnal heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 19-24°C, with divergences stemming from uncertain cloud cover persistence and potential weak frontal passages that could cap peaks below seasonal norms of 27°C. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-average conditions from ongoing Yangtze basin humidity, differentiating outcomes: fuller sunshine might push toward 23°C+, while prolonged showers favor 19-20°C. Watch CMA updates and evening soundings for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,064Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Chongqing's May 2 highest temperature around 20-22°C (market-implied odds of 23-26%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting mild highs amid overcast skies, light rain, and low-level moisture suppressing diurnal heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 19-24°C, with divergences stemming from uncertain cloud cover persistence and potential weak frontal passages that could cap peaks below seasonal norms of 27°C. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-average conditions from ongoing Yangtze basin humidity, differentiating outcomes: fuller sunshine might push toward 23°C+, while prolonged showers favor 19-20°C. Watch CMA updates and evening soundings for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,064Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Chongqing's May 2 highest temperature around 20-22°C (market-implied odds of 23-26%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting mild highs amid overcast skies, light rain, and low-level moisture suppressing diurnal heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 19-24°C, with divergences stemming from uncertain cloud cover persistence and potential weak frontal passages that could cap peaks below seasonal norms of 27°C. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-average conditions from ongoing Yangtze basin humidity, differentiating outcomes: fuller sunshine might push toward 23°C+, while prolonged showers favor 19-20°C. Watch CMA updates and evening soundings for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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