Trader sentiment on Chongqing's highest temperature on May 15 clusters tightly around 23–25°C, reflecting the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models projecting daily maximums in this range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an approaching frontal system. Current observations on May 14 show overcast skies and highs near 28–30°C, but incoming moisture is expected to cap peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 27°C by enhancing low-level cloudiness and limiting solar heating. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon clearing potential—ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 24°C, while GFS hints at 25°C—and urban heat effects in the basin topography. China Meteorological Administration updates later today could refine these implied probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
18%
24°C
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
6%
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
18%
24°C
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chongqing's highest temperature on May 15 clusters tightly around 23–25°C, reflecting the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models projecting daily maximums in this range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an approaching frontal system. Current observations on May 14 show overcast skies and highs near 28–30°C, but incoming moisture is expected to cap peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 27°C by enhancing low-level cloudiness and limiting solar heating. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon clearing potential—ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 24°C, while GFS hints at 25°C—and urban heat effects in the basin topography. China Meteorological Administration updates later today could refine these implied probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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