Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 1 at 26-28°C amid cloudy skies and possible passing showers from northeast winds, driving trader consensus to an 79.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms of average highs near 27°C and late April's warm pattern, including an observed high around 27°C on April 30. Overcast conditions introduce uncertainty, with 18.5% odds on exactly 24°C if precipitation suppresses daytime heating, while lower outcomes remain negligible given historical precedents and model consensus from ECMWF ensembles. Hourly observations from CMA stations will monitor peak afternoon temperatures, with updates potentially shifting sentiment as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
25°C or higher 75.5%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$22,134 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,134 Vol.
1 may 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
76%
25°C or higher 75.5%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$22,134 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,134 Vol.
1 may 2026
22°C
$4,533 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,997 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,314 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$3,687 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 1 at 26-28°C amid cloudy skies and possible passing showers from northeast winds, driving trader consensus to an 79.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms of average highs near 27°C and late April's warm pattern, including an observed high around 27°C on April 30. Overcast conditions introduce uncertainty, with 18.5% odds on exactly 24°C if precipitation suppresses daytime heating, while lower outcomes remain negligible given historical precedents and model consensus from ECMWF ensembles. Hourly observations from CMA stations will monitor peak afternoon temperatures, with updates potentially shifting sentiment as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$22,134Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 1 at 26-28°C amid cloudy skies and possible passing showers from northeast winds, driving trader consensus to an 79.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms of average highs near 27°C and late April's warm pattern, including an observed high around 27°C on April 30. Overcast conditions introduce uncertainty, with 18.5% odds on exactly 24°C if precipitation suppresses daytime heating, while lower outcomes remain negligible given historical precedents and model consensus from ECMWF ensembles. Hourly observations from CMA stations will monitor peak afternoon temperatures, with updates potentially shifting sentiment as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,134Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 1 at 26-28°C amid cloudy skies and possible passing showers from northeast winds, driving trader consensus to an 79.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms of average highs near 27°C and late April's warm pattern, including an observed high around 27°C on April 30. Overcast conditions introduce uncertainty, with 18.5% odds on exactly 24°C if precipitation suppresses daytime heating, while lower outcomes remain negligible given historical precedents and model consensus from ECMWF ensembles. Hourly observations from CMA stations will monitor peak afternoon temperatures, with updates potentially shifting sentiment as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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