Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs near 52-55°F amid a cool post-frontal pattern with lingering showers and north-northeast winds around 10 mph. Recent observations on May 1 held steady around 45°F under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, continuing a multi-day cool spell that has suppressed temperatures well below the 65.5°F climatological normal. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles exhibit modest spread, with means in the low-to-mid 50s, though increased sunshine could push toward the higher end; updated 12z runs expected soon may refine this. Patchy frost risks overnight underscore chilly low-level conditions influencing diurnal maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 2?
54°F or higher 44%
52-53°F 27%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 4.4%
NUEVO
$26,058 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,058 Vol.
2 may 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
27%
54°F or higher
44%
54°F or higher 44%
52-53°F 27%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 4.4%
NUEVO
$26,058 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,058 Vol.
2 may 2026
35°F or below
$15,618 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$740 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$748 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$1,188 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$827 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$1,475 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,264 Vol.
3%
48-49°F
$1,123 Vol.
4%
50-51°F
$685 Vol.
16%
52-53°F
$516 Vol.
27%
54°F or higher
$1,892 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs near 52-55°F amid a cool post-frontal pattern with lingering showers and north-northeast winds around 10 mph. Recent observations on May 1 held steady around 45°F under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, continuing a multi-day cool spell that has suppressed temperatures well below the 65.5°F climatological normal. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles exhibit modest spread, with means in the low-to-mid 50s, though increased sunshine could push toward the higher end; updated 12z runs expected soon may refine this. Patchy frost risks overnight underscore chilly low-level conditions influencing diurnal maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$26,058Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs near 52-55°F amid a cool post-frontal pattern with lingering showers and north-northeast winds around 10 mph. Recent observations on May 1 held steady around 45°F under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, continuing a multi-day cool spell that has suppressed temperatures well below the 65.5°F climatological normal. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles exhibit modest spread, with means in the low-to-mid 50s, though increased sunshine could push toward the higher end; updated 12z runs expected soon may refine this. Patchy frost risks overnight underscore chilly low-level conditions influencing diurnal maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,058Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs near 52-55°F amid a cool post-frontal pattern with lingering showers and north-northeast winds around 10 mph. Recent observations on May 1 held steady around 45°F under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, continuing a multi-day cool spell that has suppressed temperatures well below the 65.5°F climatological normal. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles exhibit modest spread, with means in the low-to-mid 50s, though increased sunshine could push toward the higher end; updated 12z runs expected soon may refine this. Patchy frost risks overnight underscore chilly low-level conditions influencing diurnal maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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