Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 56°F today under partly sunny skies with northeast winds around 15 mph, fueling the 99.6% implied probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 50s amid moderating winds post-frontal passage, aligning with climatological patterns for mid-May despite a cooler-than-normal air mass (historical average high 70°F). Scenarios challenging this include sudden marine layer persistence or enhanced cloud cover capping peaks at 54-55°F, though hourly updates and current trajectories indicate minimal risk ahead of afternoon peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.6%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
$49,082 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,082 Vol.
14 may 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.6%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
$49,082 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,082 Vol.
14 may 2026
37°F or below
$6,479 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$701 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,207 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$4,539 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,940 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 56°F today under partly sunny skies with northeast winds around 15 mph, fueling the 99.6% implied probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 50s amid moderating winds post-frontal passage, aligning with climatological patterns for mid-May despite a cooler-than-normal air mass (historical average high 70°F). Scenarios challenging this include sudden marine layer persistence or enhanced cloud cover capping peaks at 54-55°F, though hourly updates and current trajectories indicate minimal risk ahead of afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$49,082Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 56°F today under partly sunny skies with northeast winds around 15 mph, fueling the 99.6% implied probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 50s amid moderating winds post-frontal passage, aligning with climatological patterns for mid-May despite a cooler-than-normal air mass (historical average high 70°F). Scenarios challenging this include sudden marine layer persistence or enhanced cloud cover capping peaks at 54-55°F, though hourly updates and current trajectories indicate minimal risk ahead of afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$49,082Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 56°F today under partly sunny skies with northeast winds around 15 mph, fueling the 99.6% implied probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 50s amid moderating winds post-frontal passage, aligning with climatological patterns for mid-May despite a cooler-than-normal air mass (historical average high 70°F). Scenarios challenging this include sudden marine layer persistence or enhanced cloud cover capping peaks at 54-55°F, though hourly updates and current trajectories indicate minimal risk ahead of afternoon peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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