Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 23°C in Chengdu on May 2 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, anchoring trader sentiment at 33% implied probability for 23°C versus 25.5% for 22°C. This tight race reflects numerical weather prediction model consensus—drawing from CMA's GRAPES, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles—on subdued diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent stratus clouds and easterly flows trap moisture, potentially capping peaks 1–2°C below climatological early-May averages of 24°C. Recent cooler anomalies over the past week, including yesterday's highs near 22°C, reinforce caution against 24°C (14%), while basin topography limits convective bursts. Official station measurements will resolve; monitor afternoon updates for cloud-break refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
23°C 34%
22°C 26%
24°C 16%
21°C 15%
NUEVO
$10,263 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,263 Vol.
2 may 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
34%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 34%
22°C 26%
24°C 16%
21°C 15%
NUEVO
$10,263 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,263 Vol.
2 may 2026
17°C or below
$1,449 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,578 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,278 Vol.
3%
20°C
$564 Vol.
6%
21°C
$273 Vol.
15%
22°C
$463 Vol.
26%
23°C
$733 Vol.
34%
24°C
$495 Vol.
16%
25°C
$1,145 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,400 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$897 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 23°C in Chengdu on May 2 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, anchoring trader sentiment at 33% implied probability for 23°C versus 25.5% for 22°C. This tight race reflects numerical weather prediction model consensus—drawing from CMA's GRAPES, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles—on subdued diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent stratus clouds and easterly flows trap moisture, potentially capping peaks 1–2°C below climatological early-May averages of 24°C. Recent cooler anomalies over the past week, including yesterday's highs near 22°C, reinforce caution against 24°C (14%), while basin topography limits convective bursts. Official station measurements will resolve; monitor afternoon updates for cloud-break refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,263Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 23°C in Chengdu on May 2 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, anchoring trader sentiment at 33% implied probability for 23°C versus 25.5% for 22°C. This tight race reflects numerical weather prediction model consensus—drawing from CMA's GRAPES, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles—on subdued diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent stratus clouds and easterly flows trap moisture, potentially capping peaks 1–2°C below climatological early-May averages of 24°C. Recent cooler anomalies over the past week, including yesterday's highs near 22°C, reinforce caution against 24°C (14%), while basin topography limits convective bursts. Official station measurements will resolve; monitor afternoon updates for cloud-break refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,263Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 23°C in Chengdu on May 2 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, anchoring trader sentiment at 33% implied probability for 23°C versus 25.5% for 22°C. This tight race reflects numerical weather prediction model consensus—drawing from CMA's GRAPES, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles—on subdued diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent stratus clouds and easterly flows trap moisture, potentially capping peaks 1–2°C below climatological early-May averages of 24°C. Recent cooler anomalies over the past week, including yesterday's highs near 22°C, reinforce caution against 24°C (14%), while basin topography limits convective bursts. Official station measurements will resolve; monitor afternoon updates for cloud-break refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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