Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (54.5% implied probability) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather and TimeAndDate.com, which project daytime peaks of 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered light rain. Thick cloud cover has suppressed solar insolation since early morning, limiting the diurnal temperature rise in Chengdu's Sichuan Basin, where May norms exceed 25°C; current observations show midday readings around 18-19°C with no significant clearing anticipated. A 19°C outcome (35%) reflects risks of intensified rain cooling surfaces further, while 21°C or higher carries low odds (10.7% combined) absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness. Real-time airport data will confirm the peak by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 82%
21°C 13%
19°C 6.3%
22°C or higher 2.1%
$35,151 Vol.
$35,151 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
6%
20°C
82%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
2%
20°C 82%
21°C 13%
19°C 6.3%
22°C or higher 2.1%
$35,151 Vol.
$35,151 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
$11,145 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,622 Vol.
6%
20°C
$2,970 Vol.
82%
21°C
$2,889 Vol.
13%
22°C or higher
$4,707 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (54.5% implied probability) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather and TimeAndDate.com, which project daytime peaks of 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered light rain. Thick cloud cover has suppressed solar insolation since early morning, limiting the diurnal temperature rise in Chengdu's Sichuan Basin, where May norms exceed 25°C; current observations show midday readings around 18-19°C with no significant clearing anticipated. A 19°C outcome (35%) reflects risks of intensified rain cooling surfaces further, while 21°C or higher carries low odds (10.7% combined) absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness. Real-time airport data will confirm the peak by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,151Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (54.5% implied probability) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather and TimeAndDate.com, which project daytime peaks of 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered light rain. Thick cloud cover has suppressed solar insolation since early morning, limiting the diurnal temperature rise in Chengdu's Sichuan Basin, where May norms exceed 25°C; current observations show midday readings around 18-19°C with no significant clearing anticipated. A 19°C outcome (35%) reflects risks of intensified rain cooling surfaces further, while 21°C or higher carries low odds (10.7% combined) absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness. Real-time airport data will confirm the peak by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,151Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (54.5% implied probability) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather and TimeAndDate.com, which project daytime peaks of 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered light rain. Thick cloud cover has suppressed solar insolation since early morning, limiting the diurnal temperature rise in Chengdu's Sichuan Basin, where May norms exceed 25°C; current observations show midday readings around 18-19°C with no significant clearing anticipated. A 19°C outcome (35%) reflects risks of intensified rain cooling surfaces further, while 21°C or higher carries low odds (10.7% combined) absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness. Real-time airport data will confirm the peak by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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