The South African Weather Service's latest forecast projects a high of 17°C in Cape Town on May 6 amid persistent cloudy and cool conditions extending from May 5, with isolated showers and Western Cape flood advisories underscoring suppressed diurnal heating. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 18°C at 34% implied probability, mirroring ensemble spreads from sources like AccuWeather (near 18°C) and others up to 20°C, against May climatological averages of 19-21°C at Cape Town International Airport. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, potential shower timing, and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling—persistent overcast favors 16-17°C outcomes, while breaks could push toward 19-20°C. Watch SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS model runs on May 5 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
20°C 96.3%
21°C 2.4%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$37,296 Vol.
$37,296 Vol.
6 may 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
96%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 96.3%
21°C 2.4%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$37,296 Vol.
$37,296 Vol.
6 may 2026
19°C
$11,078 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,874 Vol.
96%
21°C
$2,441 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,475 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,773 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's latest forecast projects a high of 17°C in Cape Town on May 6 amid persistent cloudy and cool conditions extending from May 5, with isolated showers and Western Cape flood advisories underscoring suppressed diurnal heating. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 18°C at 34% implied probability, mirroring ensemble spreads from sources like AccuWeather (near 18°C) and others up to 20°C, against May climatological averages of 19-21°C at Cape Town International Airport. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, potential shower timing, and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling—persistent overcast favors 16-17°C outcomes, while breaks could push toward 19-20°C. Watch SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS model runs on May 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$37,296Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's latest forecast projects a high of 17°C in Cape Town on May 6 amid persistent cloudy and cool conditions extending from May 5, with isolated showers and Western Cape flood advisories underscoring suppressed diurnal heating. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 18°C at 34% implied probability, mirroring ensemble spreads from sources like AccuWeather (near 18°C) and others up to 20°C, against May climatological averages of 19-21°C at Cape Town International Airport. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, potential shower timing, and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling—persistent overcast favors 16-17°C outcomes, while breaks could push toward 19-20°C. Watch SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS model runs on May 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,296Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The South African Weather Service's latest forecast projects a high of 17°C in Cape Town on May 6 amid persistent cloudy and cool conditions extending from May 5, with isolated showers and Western Cape flood advisories underscoring suppressed diurnal heating. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 18°C at 34% implied probability, mirroring ensemble spreads from sources like AccuWeather (near 18°C) and others up to 20°C, against May climatological averages of 19-21°C at Cape Town International Airport. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, potential shower timing, and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling—persistent overcast favors 16-17°C outcomes, while breaks could push toward 19-20°C. Watch SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS model runs on May 5 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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