Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
20°C 41%
19°C 33%
21°C 22%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
33%
20°C
41%
21°C
22%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 41%
19°C 33%
21°C 22%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
14°C or below
$806 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$550 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,095 Vol.
8%
19°C
$810 Vol.
33%
20°C
$620 Vol.
41%
21°C
$870 Vol.
22%
22°C
$863 Vol.
2%
23°C
$379 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volumen
$7,412Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,412Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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