The South African Weather Service (SAWS) current forecast drives trader consensus toward a Cape Town maximum temperature of around 19°C (40.5% implied probability), with 18°C (27.5%) and 20°C (24%) close behind, amid fine skies and moderate south-westerly winds capping highs after days of heavy rainfall and cooler conditions across the Western Cape. This autumnal post-frontal clearing brings cooler maritime air, while low-level cloud persistence over the Cape Peninsula—common due to Table Mountain's orographic effects and sea breeze development—often limits insolation below model peaks. Recent daily highs near 18°C reflect this pattern; SAWS hourly observations and evening station data will determine the official resolution, highlighting forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
19°C 40%
20°C 32%
18°C 28%
17°C 5%
$18,804 Vol.
$18,804 Vol.
14 may 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
28%
19°C
40%
20°C
31%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 32%
18°C 28%
17°C 5%
$18,804 Vol.
$18,804 Vol.
14 may 2026
12°C or below
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,882 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,357 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,860 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,929 Vol.
28%
19°C
$1,652 Vol.
40%
20°C
$2,198 Vol.
31%
21°C
$1,510 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$2,237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service (SAWS) current forecast drives trader consensus toward a Cape Town maximum temperature of around 19°C (40.5% implied probability), with 18°C (27.5%) and 20°C (24%) close behind, amid fine skies and moderate south-westerly winds capping highs after days of heavy rainfall and cooler conditions across the Western Cape. This autumnal post-frontal clearing brings cooler maritime air, while low-level cloud persistence over the Cape Peninsula—common due to Table Mountain's orographic effects and sea breeze development—often limits insolation below model peaks. Recent daily highs near 18°C reflect this pattern; SAWS hourly observations and evening station data will determine the official resolution, highlighting forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$18,804Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service (SAWS) current forecast drives trader consensus toward a Cape Town maximum temperature of around 19°C (40.5% implied probability), with 18°C (27.5%) and 20°C (24%) close behind, amid fine skies and moderate south-westerly winds capping highs after days of heavy rainfall and cooler conditions across the Western Cape. This autumnal post-frontal clearing brings cooler maritime air, while low-level cloud persistence over the Cape Peninsula—common due to Table Mountain's orographic effects and sea breeze development—often limits insolation below model peaks. Recent daily highs near 18°C reflect this pattern; SAWS hourly observations and evening station data will determine the official resolution, highlighting forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,804Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) current forecast drives trader consensus toward a Cape Town maximum temperature of around 19°C (40.5% implied probability), with 18°C (27.5%) and 20°C (24%) close behind, amid fine skies and moderate south-westerly winds capping highs after days of heavy rainfall and cooler conditions across the Western Cape. This autumnal post-frontal clearing brings cooler maritime air, while low-level cloud persistence over the Cape Peninsula—common due to Table Mountain's orographic effects and sea breeze development—often limits insolation below model peaks. Recent daily highs near 18°C reflect this pattern; SAWS hourly observations and evening station data will determine the official resolution, highlighting forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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