Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow lead for 17°C (38.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on May 14, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 17°C following a cool front over the past 48 hours. Persistent southerly winds of 7-19 km/h suppress boundary-layer heating below May's climatological average of 18°C, with 16°C (19.6%) viable if cloud cover exceeds 22% or sea breezes from the Río de la Plata strengthen, while 18°C (31.0%) hinges on maximal midday solar insolation under sunnier intervals. Hourly observations from Wunderground will finalize resolution by evening, amid typical autumnal uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
16°C 19.5%
19°C 4.0%
$13,708 Vol.
$13,708 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
38%
18°C
35%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
16°C 19.5%
19°C 4.0%
$13,708 Vol.
$13,708 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
38%
18°C
35%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow lead for 17°C (38.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on May 14, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 17°C following a cool front over the past 48 hours. Persistent southerly winds of 7-19 km/h suppress boundary-layer heating below May's climatological average of 18°C, with 16°C (19.6%) viable if cloud cover exceeds 22% or sea breezes from the Río de la Plata strengthen, while 18°C (31.0%) hinges on maximal midday solar insolation under sunnier intervals. Hourly observations from Wunderground will finalize resolution by evening, amid typical autumnal uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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