Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 51%
12°C 22%
10°C 22%
13°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
22%
11°C
51%
12°C
22%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 51%
12°C 22%
10°C 22%
13°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
7°C or below
$302 Vol.
1%
8°C
$362 Vol.
1%
9°C
$636 Vol.
3%
10°C
$822 Vol.
22%
11°C
$927 Vol.
51%
12°C
$639 Vol.
22%
13°C
$564 Vol.
4%
14°C
$268 Vol.
1%
15°C
$267 Vol.
1%
16°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volumen
$6,051Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,051Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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