Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (44.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely followed by 11°C (33.0%), driven by KNMI's early morning forecast update (issued 02:25 LT) projecting a daytime maximum around 12-13°C at Schiphol Airport amid wisselvallig weather—extensive cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly winds advecting cool North Sea maritime air. This caps warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C, with ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles showing tight spreads but variability in afternoon frontal timing and partial clearing potential. Hourly observations peaking 2-4 PM local time will refine outcomes, as the market resolves to the highest whole-degree reading from official Schiphol station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
12°C 45%
11°C 33%
13°C 17%
14°C 5.2%
$25,096 Vol.
$25,096 Vol.
14 may 2026
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
33%
12°C
45%
13°C
17%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 45%
11°C 33%
13°C 17%
14°C 5.2%
$25,096 Vol.
$25,096 Vol.
14 may 2026
8°C
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,902 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,082 Vol.
3%
11°C
$3,248 Vol.
33%
12°C
$3,592 Vol.
45%
13°C
$2,088 Vol.
17%
14°C
$3,001 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,754 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,795 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (44.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely followed by 11°C (33.0%), driven by KNMI's early morning forecast update (issued 02:25 LT) projecting a daytime maximum around 12-13°C at Schiphol Airport amid wisselvallig weather—extensive cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly winds advecting cool North Sea maritime air. This caps warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C, with ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles showing tight spreads but variability in afternoon frontal timing and partial clearing potential. Hourly observations peaking 2-4 PM local time will refine outcomes, as the market resolves to the highest whole-degree reading from official Schiphol station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$25,096Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (44.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely followed by 11°C (33.0%), driven by KNMI's early morning forecast update (issued 02:25 LT) projecting a daytime maximum around 12-13°C at Schiphol Airport amid wisselvallig weather—extensive cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly winds advecting cool North Sea maritime air. This caps warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C, with ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles showing tight spreads but variability in afternoon frontal timing and partial clearing potential. Hourly observations peaking 2-4 PM local time will refine outcomes, as the market resolves to the highest whole-degree reading from official Schiphol station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,096Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (44.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely followed by 11°C (33.0%), driven by KNMI's early morning forecast update (issued 02:25 LT) projecting a daytime maximum around 12-13°C at Schiphol Airport amid wisselvallig weather—extensive cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly winds advecting cool North Sea maritime air. This caps warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C, with ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles showing tight spreads but variability in afternoon frontal timing and partial clearing potential. Hourly observations peaking 2-4 PM local time will refine outcomes, as the market resolves to the highest whole-degree reading from official Schiphol station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes