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icon for Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

icon for Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

$16,387 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,387 Vol.

icon for Republicano

Republicano

$6,190 Vol.

77%

icon for Demócrata

Demócrata

$10,197 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Stetson University's April 24 survey of likely voters showing Byron Donalds leading Democratic contenders David Jolly (47%-40%) and Jerry Demings (46%-42%), alongside Echelon Insights' April 21 results (49%-43% and 48%-44%), reinforce trader consensus pricing Republicans at 77% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3. Donalds dominates GOP primary polling at 38-46% across Emerson (April 2) and others, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Florida's 1.5 million Republican voter registration edge over Democrats. Democratic primary fragmentation persists, with 53% undecided in Emerson's survey. The August 18 primaries and June filing deadline loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$16,387
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Stetson University's April 24 survey of likely voters showing Byron Donalds leading Democratic contenders David Jolly (47%-40%) and Jerry Demings (46%-42%), alongside Echelon Insights' April 21 results (49%-43% and 48%-44%), reinforce trader consensus pricing Republicans at 77% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3. Donalds dominates GOP primary polling at 38-46% across Emerson (April 2) and others, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Florida's 1.5 million Republican voter registration edge over Democrats. Democratic primary fragmentation persists, with 53% undecided in Emerson's survey. The August 18 primaries and June filing deadline loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$16,387
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 77%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" ha generado $16.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" es "Republicano" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.