Ricardo Ferraço holds the edge in trader consensus as the incumbent MDB governor of Espírito Santo following Renato Casagrande’s resignation and endorsement for the October 2026 election. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show Ferraço ahead in first-round and head-to-head scenarios against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini of the Republicanos, though margins remain narrow and vary across polls. Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio register lower support, reflecting a fragmented field that favors the sitting governor’s name recognition and access to state resources. The race stays competitive due to ongoing candidate positioning, undecided voters, and the possibility of a runoff that could consolidate opposition backing. Scheduled polling releases and party alliances through the coming months will likely influence further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Sergio Vidigal 12.0%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Sergio Vidigal
12%
Arnaldinho Borgo
19%
Euclério Sampaio
8%
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Sergio Vidigal 12.0%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$65 Vol.
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$120 Vol.
29%
Sergio Vidigal
$37 Vol.
12%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$141 Vol.
19%
Euclério Sampaio
$150 Vol.
8%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds the edge in trader consensus as the incumbent MDB governor of Espírito Santo following Renato Casagrande’s resignation and endorsement for the October 2026 election. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show Ferraço ahead in first-round and head-to-head scenarios against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini of the Republicanos, though margins remain narrow and vary across polls. Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio register lower support, reflecting a fragmented field that favors the sitting governor’s name recognition and access to state resources. The race stays competitive due to ongoing candidate positioning, undecided voters, and the possibility of a runoff that could consolidate opposition backing. Scheduled polling releases and party alliances through the coming months will likely influence further shifts in implied probabilities.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$514Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds the edge in trader consensus as the incumbent MDB governor of Espírito Santo following Renato Casagrande’s resignation and endorsement for the October 2026 election. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show Ferraço ahead in first-round and head-to-head scenarios against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini of the Republicanos, though margins remain narrow and vary across polls. Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio register lower support, reflecting a fragmented field that favors the sitting governor’s name recognition and access to state resources. The race stays competitive due to ongoing candidate positioning, undecided voters, and the possibility of a runoff that could consolidate opposition backing. Scheduled polling releases and party alliances through the coming months will likely influence further shifts in implied probabilities.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$514Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço holds the edge in trader consensus as the incumbent MDB governor of Espírito Santo following Renato Casagrande’s resignation and endorsement for the October 2026 election. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show Ferraço ahead in first-round and head-to-head scenarios against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini of the Republicanos, though margins remain narrow and vary across polls. Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio register lower support, reflecting a fragmented field that favors the sitting governor’s name recognition and access to state resources. The race stays competitive due to ongoing candidate positioning, undecided voters, and the possibility of a runoff that could consolidate opposition backing. Scheduled polling releases and party alliances through the coming months will likely influence further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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