High polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout on May 31, drives trader expectations for elevated runoff participation on June 21. The tight 2.8-point first-round margin and endorsements from eliminated centrists like Paloma Valencia have intensified mobilization efforts among the roughly 42% of eligible voters who abstained initially. Analysts highlight that the runoff’s decisive stakes, combined with ongoing coalition-building and voter outreach in key regions, position turnout in the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome, reflecting sustained public engagement ahead of the contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSegunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: participación
Segunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: participación
60-64% 74%
52-56% 21%
56-60% 9%
<52% 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 jun 2026
<52%
23%
52-56%
21%
56-60%
33%
60-64%
53%
64% o más
29%
60-64% 74%
52-56% 21%
56-60% 9%
<52% 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 jun 2026
<52%
$99 Vol.
23%
52-56%
$79 Vol.
21%
56-60%
$49 Vol.
33%
60-64%
$145 Vol.
53%
64% o más
$49 Vol.
29%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout on May 31, drives trader expectations for elevated runoff participation on June 21. The tight 2.8-point first-round margin and endorsements from eliminated centrists like Paloma Valencia have intensified mobilization efforts among the roughly 42% of eligible voters who abstained initially. Analysts highlight that the runoff’s decisive stakes, combined with ongoing coalition-building and voter outreach in key regions, position turnout in the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome, reflecting sustained public engagement ahead of the contest.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$420Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout on May 31, drives trader expectations for elevated runoff participation on June 21. The tight 2.8-point first-round margin and endorsements from eliminated centrists like Paloma Valencia have intensified mobilization efforts among the roughly 42% of eligible voters who abstained initially. Analysts highlight that the runoff’s decisive stakes, combined with ongoing coalition-building and voter outreach in key regions, position turnout in the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome, reflecting sustained public engagement ahead of the contest.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$420Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout on May 31, drives trader expectations for elevated runoff participation on June 21. The tight 2.8-point first-round margin and endorsements from eliminated centrists like Paloma Valencia have intensified mobilization efforts among the roughly 42% of eligible voters who abstained initially. Analysts highlight that the runoff’s decisive stakes, combined with ongoing coalition-building and voter outreach in key regions, position turnout in the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome, reflecting sustained public engagement ahead of the contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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