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icon for Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

icon for Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

Brian Mundubile 41%

Fred M'membe 40%

Hakainde Hichilema 35%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Brian Mundubile 41%

Fred M'membe 40%

Hakainde Hichilema 35%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$0 Vol.

35%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development seeks a second term in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 general election amid a fragmented opposition field that includes alliance candidate Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Recent candidate nominations in May 2026 and the start of the three-month campaign period have highlighted multiple viable contenders without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Polling trends show Hichilema ahead yet with substantial undecided voters and regional economic pressures that could influence turnout. The broad distribution of market probabilities across numerous names reflects trader assessment of these variables, including potential shifts from alliance negotiations, voter mobilization, or late developments before the first-past-the-post threshold is met.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development seeks a second term in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 general election amid a fragmented opposition field that includes alliance candidate Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Recent candidate nominations in May 2026 and the start of the three-month campaign period have highlighted multiple viable contenders without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Polling trends show Hichilema ahead yet with substantial undecided voters and regional economic pressures that could influence turnout. The broad distribution of market probabilities across numerous names reflects trader assessment of these variables, including potential shifts from alliance negotiations, voter mobilization, or late developments before the first-past-the-post threshold is met.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brian Mundubile" con 41%, seguido de "Fred M'membe" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 5, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" es "Brian Mundubile" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Fred M'membe" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.